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Rankings
#28 of 105 in Division 5
#3 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #33 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #494 Milton-Union (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (91%)
08/28 A #380 Miami East (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 13 (74%)
09/04 A #582 Bethel (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 35 (97%)
09/11 A #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 H #269 Franklin (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/25 H #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/02 H #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/09 A #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/16 H #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #365 Eaton (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
76% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 6-4), 39% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.95 ( 0.45-33.05) 80% in, 64% home, 42% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 52%
Lose: 7.00 ( 0.00-26.75) 37% in, 21% home, 9% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 26.00 (20.75-33.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(14%) 9W: 22.15 (16.50-29.55) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 99%
(16%) 8W: 18.50 (11.30-25.45) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 79%
(16%) 7W: 15.40 ( 8.95-22.80) 99% in, 90% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 34%
(15%) 6W: 12.50 ( 7.10-18.90) 94% in, 52% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 6%
(12%) 5W: 9.75 ( 4.50-16.00) 61% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 4W: 7.40 ( 2.95-13.60) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 12%
( 6%) 3W: 5.10 ( 1.90-10.30) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.10 ( 0.90- 7.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.30 ( 0.45- 4.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 3%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 3%
Williamsburg (0-0) 3%
Miami East (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 11%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 121.6, #199, D5 #20), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 118.4