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Rankings
#11 of 101 in Division 4
#4 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #19 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #97 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #63 Coldwater (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 16 (23%)
08/28 H #269 Franklin (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 A #153 Bellbrook (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 3 (57%)
09/11 H #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 22 (90%)
09/18 H #365 Eaton (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 A #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/02 A #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 H #197 Edgewood (Trenton) (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/16 A #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 H #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
22.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
84% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.95 ( 3.25-35.90) 97% in, 92% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 77%
Lose: 18.60 ( 0.00-32.85) 80% in, 64% home, 35% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 44%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 10W: 29.00 (21.85-35.90) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(21%) 9W: 26.00 (16.55-32.85) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 91%
(20%) 8W: 22.25 (14.25-29.50) 100% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 61%
(16%) 7W: 18.55 (11.20-24.65) 99% in, 86% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
(12%) 6W: 15.00 ( 7.75-21.75) 94% in, 45% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
( 9%) 5W: 11.80 ( 6.35-18.55) 63% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 4W: 8.80 ( 3.35-15.20) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 3W: 5.98 ( 2.35-11.65) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 2W: 3.75 ( 1.00- 8.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.45- 4.95) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Dunbar (0-0) 3%
Meadowdale (0-0) 3%
Roger Bacon (0-0) 3%
Taylor (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Taft (0-0) 11%
London (0-0) 11%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 102.1, #349, D4 #51), 30% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 137.1