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Rankings
#84 of 105 in Division 5
#20 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #21 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #102 in D5 (-882 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 20-13 A #459 Preble Shawnee (3-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 77
08/28 L 27-0 H #378 Madeira (3-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 56
09/04 L 36-26 H #463 Blanchester (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (23%), perf. rating 69
09/11 L 40-7 A #427 Dayton Christian (3-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 45
09/18 A #372 Brookville (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%)
09/25 H #421 Eaton (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/02 H #121 Valley View (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/09 A #207 Waynesville (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/16 A #375 Carlisle (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/23 H #206 Oakwood (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.45 ( 1.45-10.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-13.35) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 4.55 ( 3.35- 8.35) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 2.00 ( 1.45- 4.95) out, proj. out
(84%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLWLL: 3.80 ( 2.40- 4.80) out
( 1%) LLLLLW: 3.45 ( 2.55- 4.95) out
( 1%) LLWLLL: 3.40 ( 1.95- 4.00) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 2.00 ( 1.45- 3.90) out
( 2%) WLLLLL: 2.00 ( 1.45- 3.45) out
( 6%) LWLLLL: 1.65 ( 1.65- 3.55) out
(84%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 65.8, #574, D5 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 72.7, #546, D5 #82), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 74.0, #534, D5 #79), 5% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 83.3, #478, D5 #69), 22% (bubble if 4-6), 11% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 75.2, #529, D5 #79), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 69.4