Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#587 Madison (Middletown) Mohawks (0-7) 61.8

Updated Sun 04-Oct-2026 08:06 AM
Week 7 complete

Region 20 home page
Region 20 projections
Region 20 playoff probabilities
Region 20 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 20 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#91 of 106 in Division 5
#22 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #24 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #103 in D5 (-763 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 L 20-13 A #501 Preble Shawnee (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 72
08/28 L 27-0 H #388 Madeira (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 54
09/04 L 36-26 H #517 Blanchester (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (23%), perf. rating 60
09/11 L 40-7 A #436 Dayton Christian (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 42
09/18 L 48-20 A #375 Brookville (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 58
09/25 L 41-7 H #413 Eaton (3-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 41
10/02 L 42-7 H #93 Valley View (5-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 86
10/09 A #335 Waynesville (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/16 A #298 Carlisle (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #165 Oakwood (6-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 43 (1%)

Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention

Depending on the next game
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 4.45) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 1W: 3.35 ( 2.45- 4.45) out, proj. out
(97%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) LLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (0-7, 61.8, #587, D5 #91), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 6 (0-6, 58.7, #606, D5 #94), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 5 (0-5, 61.9, #590, D5 #91), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 4 (0-4, 65.8, #574, D5 #84), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 72.7, #546, D5 #82), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 74.0, #534, D5 #79), 5% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 83.3, #478, D5 #69), 22% (bubble if 4-6), 11% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 75.2, #529, D5 #79), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 69.4