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Rankings
#79 of 105 in Division 5
#18 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #26 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #285 Preble Shawnee (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 30 (8%)
08/28 H #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 15 (23%)
09/04 H #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #580 Dayton Christian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 8 (68%)
09/18 A #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 H #365 Eaton (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/02 H #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/09 A #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 A #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 H #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
16% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.95 ( 1.85-29.10) 54% in, 34% home, 15% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 3.55 ( 0.00-26.35) 12% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 19.33 (11.90-24.70) 100% in, 99% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 85%
( 2%) 7W: 16.10 (10.90-21.85) 99% in, 94% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 39%
( 5%) 6W: 12.95 ( 7.60-19.05) 96% in, 58% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
( 7%) 5W: 10.25 ( 5.55-16.75) 68% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(11%) 4W: 7.85 ( 3.45-13.25) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(17%) 3W: 5.55 ( 2.15-10.50) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(21%) 2W: 3.55 ( 0.90- 8.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(21%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.45- 4.95) out, proj. out
(15%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 6%
Williamsburg (0-0) 6%
Mariemont (0-0) 5%
Greeneview (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 12%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 11%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 92.3, #424, D5 #58), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 69.4