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Rankings
#23 of 103 in Division 7
#8 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #8 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D7 (+220 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 34-6 H #557 Evergreen (0-7) D6 R22, pick: L by 29 (9%), perf. rating 109
08/28 W 13-6 A #422 Parkway (2-5) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 104
09/04 W 21-20 A #252 Paulding (6-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 119
09/12 L 28-24 H #258 Fort Loramie (5-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 106
09/18 L 49-7 H #87 Bluffton (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 77
09/25 L 43-6 A #95 Columbus Grove (6-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 87
10/02 L 12-7 H #430 Crestview (Convoy) (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 81
10/09 A #53 Lima Central Catholic (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/16 A #222 Allen East (4-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/22 H #594 Spencerville (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
69% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Lose: 6.15 ( 4.90- 9.65) 68% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Edon (6-1) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 5W: 8.55 ( 7.70-11.10) 100% in, 21% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Montpelier (5-2) 29%
(92%) 4W: 6.15 ( 4.95- 8.15) 67% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 35%
( 2%) 3W: 5.75 ( 4.90- 6.50) 31% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) LWW: 8.55 ( 7.70- 9.65) 100% in, 14% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Montpelier (5-2) 29%
(92%) LLW: 6.15 ( 4.95- 7.30) 67% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 35%
( 2%) LLL: 5.75 ( 4.90- 6.50) 31% in, proj. out (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 48%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 94.7, #401, D7 #23), 69% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 95.4, #392, D7 #22), 83% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 98.0, #375, D7 #20), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 4 (3-1, 97.9, #381, D7 #18), 84% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (3-0, 95.0, #401, D7 #22), 68% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 92.2, #414, D7 #25), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 85.9, #455, D7 #23), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 60.4, #606, D7 #59), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 60.4