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Rankings
#48 of 107 in Division 7
#16 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #7 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D7 (+27 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 41-7 A #289 Evergreen (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 62
08/29 W 26-14 H #541 Parkway (0-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 20 (16%), perf. rating 89
09/06 L 33-7 H #282 Paulding (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (10%), perf. rating 71
09/12 L 49-6 A #123 Bluffton (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 46 (1%), perf. rating 76
09/19 H #212 Columbus Grove (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/26 A #277 Crestview (Convoy) (3-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/03 H #168 Lima Central Catholic (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/11 H #451 Allen East (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/17 A #372 Fort Loramie (0-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/24 A #543 Spencerville (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.50 ( 1.15- 8.10) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.20 ( 0.40- 8.65) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 3.85 ( 3.40- 7.45) out, proj. out
(18%) 3W: 2.35 ( 1.85- 5.90) out, proj. out
(39%) 2W: 1.20 ( 0.75- 4.35) out, proj. out
(38%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLWWW: 3.50 ( 3.40- 4.65) out
(14%) LLLWLW: 2.35 ( 2.35- 3.75) out
( 2%) LLLLWW: 2.35 ( 1.90- 3.50) out
(10%) LLLWLL: 1.55 ( 1.15- 2.60) out
( 1%) LLLLWL: 1.55 ( 0.75- 2.60) out
(27%) LLLLLW: 1.20 ( 1.20- 2.70) out
(38%) LLLLLL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.95) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 73.8, #538, D7 #48), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 71.0, #553, D7 #50), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 75.3, #541, D7 #49), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 59.4, #607, D7 #63), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 62.6, #596, D7 #57), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 62.3