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Rankings
#36 of 102 in Division 4
#9 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #78 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D4 (-69 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 33-14 H #80 New Lexington (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 24 (14%), perf. rating 113
08/28 W 20-14 H #325 Colonel Crawford (4-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 112
09/04 W 47-13 H #613 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-7) D4 R15, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 104
09/11 W 42-0 A #475 Logan Elm (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 149
09/18 L 30-13 H #270 Bloom-Carroll (4-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 14 (81%), perf. rating 86
09/25 W 44-0 A #585 Liberty Union (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 126
10/02 W 28-7 A #397 Circleville (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 128
10/09 A #446 Amanda-Clearcreek (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 H #614 Alexander (4-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/23 H #200 Hamilton Township (5-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
42% (likely needs 8-2), 18% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.50 ( 9.65-18.20) 45% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 15%
Lose: 10.35 ( 7.80-15.50) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 8W: 16.05 (14.95-18.20) 99% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 20%
(64%) 7W: 12.20 (11.35-15.50) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 35%
( 7%) 6W: 10.30 ( 9.50-11.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(29%) WWW: 16.05 (14.95-18.20) 99% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 20%
( 1%) LWW: 14.25 (13.50-15.50) 80% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 25%
(63%) WWL: 12.20 (11.35-14.20) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 36%
( 6%) LWL: 10.30 ( 9.50-11.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 75%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 113.3, #266, D4 #36), 42% (likely needs 8-2), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 109.6, #296, D4 #40), 28% (bubble if 7-3), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 107.4, #309, D4 #44), 23% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 117.3, #240, D4 #35), 72% (bubble if 7-3), 31% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 111.5, #283, D4 #39), 64% (bubble if 7-3), 32% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye, proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 117.1, #236, D4 #33), 79% (bubble if 7-3), 45% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 110.8, #279, D4 #36), 54% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 111.6, #271, D4 #35), 48% (bubble if 6-4), 27% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 116.0