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Rankings
#101 of 105 in Division 7
#25 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #102 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #696 Sciotoville Community (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 3 (44%)
08/29 A #674 Gamble Montessori (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #700 Federal Hocking (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 21 (88%)
09/12 A #689 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 A #663 Berne Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #488 Grove City Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/02 H #623 Fisher Catholic (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/09 A #638 Fairfield Christian (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 H #645 Bishop Rosecrans (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/23 A #631 Miller (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.41 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.19 ( 0.35-19.57) 13% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
Lose: 1.06 ( 0.00-15.39) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), South Gallia (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 12.59 ( 8.86-16.82) 99% in, 91% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
( 2%) 8W: 10.30 ( 6.83-15.09) 96% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Frontier (0-0) 10%
( 3%) 7W: 8.26 ( 4.90-13.47) 71% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), South Gallia (0-0) 8%
( 5%) 6W: 6.59 ( 3.27-11.23) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Conotton Valley (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 4.96 ( 2.26-13.23) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Bishop Rosecrans (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 3.64 ( 1.50- 8.33) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(16%) 3W: 2.48 ( 1.05- 7.37) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(21%) 2W: 1.41 ( 0.70- 6.62) out, proj. out
(22%) 1W: 0.71 ( 0.35- 4.28) out, proj. out
(11%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Conotton Valley (0-0) 7%
South Gallia (0-0) 7%
Symmes Valley (0-0) 6%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 6%
Toronto (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Toronto (0-0) 13%
Eastern (Beaver) (0-0) 12%
Eastern (Reedsville) (0-0) 10%
Danville (0-0) 10%
Symmes Valley (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 62.6, #593, D7 #57), 67% (bubble if 5-4), 46% home (maybe if 6-3), 22% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #9 at 6-3
Last season 16.7