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Region 27 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#84 of 103 in Division 7
#19 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #82 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #74 in D7 (-455 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 46-12 H #515 Conotton Valley (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 36 (5%), perf. rating 25
08/28 L 28-22 A #637 Fisher Catholic (6-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 26 (10%), perf. rating 39
09/04 W 28-27 A #673 St Thomas Aquinas (2-5) D6 R21, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 37
09/12 W 10-6 H #689 Millersport (2-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (76%), perf. rating 22
09/18 W 48-14 A #700 Federal Hocking (0-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 31 (97%), perf. rating 42
09/25 L 39-14 H #509 East Canton (5-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 35 (1%), perf. rating 39
10/02 L 28-21 H #630 Malvern (2-5) D7 R25, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 38
10/09 A #319 Newcomerstown (5-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 H #654 Buckeye Trail (0-7) D6 R23, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 A #471 Strasburg-Franklin (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.50 ( 5.40- 9.45) 10% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 3.50 ( 2.75- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 6.85 ( 5.80- 9.45) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(37%) 4W: 3.85 ( 3.15- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(62%) 3W: 3.45 ( 2.75- 5.10) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(36%) LWL: 3.85 ( 3.15- 5.45) out
(62%) LLL: 3.45 ( 2.75- 5.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 32.4, #675, D7 #84), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 30.5, #678, D7 #86), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (3-2, 29.9, #676, D7 #85), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 28.1, #679, D7 #85), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 28.6, #676, D7 #84), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 28.7, #673, D7 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 19.8, #688, D7 #95), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 20.5, #688, D7 #95), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 23.3