Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#110 Findlay Trojans (4-4) 137.1

Updated Sat 10-Oct-2026 10:44 PM
Week 8 in progress

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Rankings
#29 of 100 in Division 2
#6 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #34 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D2 (-32 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Playoff quirks

Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-7 H #229 Medina (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 146
08/28 W 31-6 A #167 Lima Senior (7-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 166
09/04 W 37-20 H #325 Springfield (Holland) (4-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 129
09/11 W 35-13 H #279 Sylvania Southview (3-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 143
09/18 L 37-28 H #124 Fremont Ross (5-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 119
09/25 L 29-28 A #66 Clay (7-1) D2 R6, pick: L by 15 (17%), perf. rating 147
10/02 L 31-6 H #19 Perrysburg (8-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 130
10/09 L 45-24 H #37 Whitmer (7-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 15 (16%), perf. rating 125
10/16 A #516 Sylvania Northview (0-8) D2 R6, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 A #137 Anthony Wayne (4-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 4 (60%)

Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R6 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home

Depending on the next game
Win: 17.15 (13.25-18.95) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #6 (#5-#10), Rhodes (5-3) 26%

Based on eventual number of wins
(59%) 6W: 17.70 (16.35-18.95) 100% home, proj. #6 (#5-#8), Rhodes (5-3) 26%
(41%) 5W: 15.00 (13.25-18.15) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Rhodes (5-3) 26%

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(59%) WW: 17.70 (16.35-18.95) 100% home, proj. #6 (#5-#8), Rhodes (5-3) 26%
(40%) WL: 15.00 (13.25-16.05) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Rhodes (5-3) 26%

Most likely first round opponents
Rhodes (5-3) 26%
Avon Lake (4-4) 15%
Amherst Steele (4-4) 14%
North Olmsted (3-5) 12%
Sylvania Southview (3-5) 11%

Most likely second round opponents
Avon (6-2) 32%
Olmsted Falls (6-2) 29%
Clay (7-1) 25%
Toledo Central Catholic (6-2) 15%

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 138.0, #112, D2 #28), appears locked in, 97% home, 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 6 (4-2, 139.0, #98, D2 #27), appears locked in, 90% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 5 (4-1, 136.2, #111, D2 #30), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 17% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 4 (4-0, 145.3, #75, D2 #23), likely in and likely home, 63% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 144.7, #70, D2 #20), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 65% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 148.0, #62, D2 #20), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 73% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 137.7, #109, D2 #34), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 135.4, #119, D2 #36), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 139.2