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Rankings
#27 of 100 in Division 2
#6 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #33 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D2 (-58 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-7 H #241 Medina (1-5) D1 R1, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 144
08/28 W 31-6 A #182 Lima Senior (5-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 165
09/04 W 37-20 H #295 Springfield (Holland) (3-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 133
09/11 W 35-13 H #326 Sylvania Southview (2-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 136
09/18 L 37-28 H #133 Fremont Ross (3-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 117
09/25 L 29-28 A #68 Clay (6-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 15 (17%), perf. rating 147
10/02 H #26 Perrysburg (6-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 H #40 Whitmer (5-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #532 Sylvania Northview (0-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/23 A #124 Anthony Wayne (3-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 90% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.65 (16.50-29.80) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 66%
Lose: 16.10 (11.65-24.90) 100% in, 89% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Waite (4-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 27.50 (24.75-29.80) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
(13%) 7W: 21.95 (19.10-26.45) 100% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 60%
(45%) 6W: 17.10 (14.35-22.70) 100% in, 99% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Rhodes (3-3) 21%
(39%) 5W: 14.20 (11.65-20.55) 100% in, 74% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Waite (4-2) 26%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWW: 27.50 (24.75-29.80) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 4%) WLWW: 22.55 (19.80-24.95) 100% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#5), bye 70%
( 9%) LWWW: 21.65 (19.10-24.90) 100% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 54%
( 2%) WLWL: 19.65 (16.50-21.60) 100% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 25%
( 4%) LWWL: 19.10 (16.45-21.15) 100% in, 99% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Anthony Wayne (3-3) 17%
(39%) LLWW: 17.00 (14.35-20.05) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Rhodes (3-3) 21%
(39%) LLWL: 14.20 (11.65-16.70) 100% in, 74% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Waite (4-2) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (4-2, 139.0, #98, D2 #27), appears locked in, 90% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 5 (4-1, 136.2, #111, D2 #30), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 17% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 4 (4-0, 145.3, #75, D2 #23), likely in and likely home, 63% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 144.7, #70, D2 #20), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 5-5), 65% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 148.0, #62, D2 #20), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 73% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 137.7, #109, D2 #34), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 135.4, #119, D2 #36), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 139.2