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Rankings
#19 of 79 in Division 1
#3 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #61 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D1 (+138 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-23 H #108 Reynoldsburg (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 33 (93%), perf. rating 165
08/28 L 27-7 A Detroit King MI (5-1) D3
09/04 W 37-6 A #287 Sylvania Southview (2-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 159
09/11 W 49-2 H #153 Fremont Ross (4-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 189
09/18 W 57-14 H #294 Springfield (Holland) (4-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 171
09/25 W 10-7 A #141 Anthony Wayne (3-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 138
10/02 W 56-7 H #521 Sylvania Northview (0-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 137
10/09 A #112 Findlay (4-3) D2 R6, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/16 H #58 Clay (7-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 A #21 Perrysburg (7-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 13 (20%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
28.08 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.98 (20.46-35.20) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Lose: 23.14 (16.83-31.47) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 91%
Based on eventual number of wins
(17%) 9W: 34.04 (32.12-35.20) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(48%) 8W: 28.08 (25.66-31.47) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(28%) 7W: 23.24 (20.46-26.32) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 6W: 18.70 (16.83-20.82) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 80%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(17%) WWW: 34.04 (32.12-35.20) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
( 1%) LWW: 29.90 (28.49-31.47) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) WLW: 28.89 (27.12-30.00) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(43%) WWL: 27.98 (25.66-29.85) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) LWL: 24.05 (21.22-25.51) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
(20%) WLL: 22.79 (20.46-24.55) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) LLL: 18.70 (16.83-20.82) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 80%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 154.9, #43, D1 #19), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 157.3, #40, D1 #19), appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 163.3, #28, D1 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 92% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 160.9, #32, D1 #17), likely in and likely home, 84% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 154.0, #49, D1 #23), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 75% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 153.9, #51, D1 #24), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 5-5), 67% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 151.4, #51, D1 #22), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 5-5), 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 154.8, #40, D1 #18), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 155.5