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Rankings
#55 of 100 in Division 2
#15 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #86 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #260 Piqua (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 H #119 Findlay (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (21%)
09/04 A #301 Benjamin Logan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 9 (69%)
09/11 A #222 Tiffin Columbian (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 2 (44%)
09/18 H #555 Rogers (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 37 (99%)
09/25 A #652 Woodward (Toledo) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/02 A #374 Start (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/08 A #583 Bowsher (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 H #567 Waite (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #572 Scott (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
72% (bubble if 6-4), 47% home (maybe if 8-2), 17% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.50 ( 2.85-34.45) 89% in, 67% home, 26% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 13.45 ( 0.00-29.20) 46% in, 16% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 10W: 26.70 (18.65-34.45) 100% in, 99% home, 78% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 78%
(19%) 9W: 22.85 (15.85-31.95) 100% in, 95% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 35%
(20%) 8W: 19.50 (12.60-27.50) 99% in, 68% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Talawanda (0-0) 7%
(18%) 7W: 16.35 ( 9.70-23.40) 86% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 13.40 ( 7.85-20.00) 43% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 5W: 10.10 ( 6.25-17.00) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Xenia (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 4W: 7.25 ( 4.00-12.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.82 ( 2.70- 9.25) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.80 ( 1.05- 6.75) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Talawanda (0-0) 6%
Withrow (0-0) 5%
Troy (0-0) 5%
Kings (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 11%
Xenia (0-0) 9%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Kings (0-0) 9%
Badin (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 151.4, #53, D2 #17), 73% (bubble if 6-4), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 121.2