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Rankings
#18 of 100 in Division 2
#4 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #45 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D2 (+237 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 27-21 H #55 Wapakoneta (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 24 (14%), perf. rating 158
08/28 W 35-14 A #279 Sylvania Southview (3-5) D2 R6, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 145
09/04 W 62-0 H #470 Bowling Green (2-6) D3 R10, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 146
09/11 W 52-13 A #350 Napoleon (2-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 162
09/18 W 56-14 A #312 Liberty-Benton (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 173
09/25 W 29-28 H #110 Findlay (4-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 15 (83%), perf. rating 137
10/02 W 23-0 H #137 Anthony Wayne (4-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 13 (80%), perf. rating 164
10/09 L 41-13 A #19 Perrysburg (8-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 129
10/16 A #37 Whitmer (7-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/23 H #516 Sylvania Northview (0-8) D2 R6, pick: W by 46 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
20.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 92% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.30 (24.05-27.20) 100% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Lose: 20.40 (18.80-22.20) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 90%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 9W: 25.30 (24.15-27.20) 100% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(80%) 8W: 20.40 (19.25-25.85) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 90%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(19%) WW: 25.30 (24.15-27.20) 100% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(80%) LW: 20.40 (19.25-22.20) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 90%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 149.0, #58, D2 #17), appears locked in and home, 92% bye, proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (6-0, 146.1, #68, D2 #20), appears locked in and likely home, 81% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 149.4, #60, D2 #19), likely in and likely home, 79% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 145.8, #70, D2 #21), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 52% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 140.2, #90, D2 #24), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 42% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 135.6, #118, D2 #37), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 138.4, #103, D2 #32), 92% (bubble if 4-6), 75% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 126.8, #166, D2 #47), 55% (bubble if 4-6), 34% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 125.3