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Rankings
#69 of 100 in Division 2
#14 of 25 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #43 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #47 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #514 Sylvania Northview (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 H #166 Clay (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #40 Whitmer (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 37 (2%)
09/11 A #119 Findlay (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 A #72 Perrysburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 H #179 Napoleon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/02 A #210 Fremont Ross (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/09 H #62 Liberty-Benton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/16 A #459 Bowling Green (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #438 Springfield (Holland) (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 14 (82%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
19% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.35 ( 0.60-35.45) 21% in, 9% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 1.65 ( 0.00-25.25) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 27.15 (22.05-32.05) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 93%
( 1%) 8W: 22.05 (18.15-28.20) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 54%
( 3%) 7W: 17.90 (13.30-24.40) 100% in, 88% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 13%
( 6%) 6W: 13.90 (10.30-20.80) 95% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Start (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 10.30 ( 6.95-17.05) 51% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 13%
(17%) 4W: 7.05 ( 4.45-15.95) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 16%
(22%) 3W: 4.45 ( 2.40-13.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(20%) 2W: 2.35 ( 1.20- 9.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(13%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.50- 6.10) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 8%
St Francis (Toledo) (0-0) 8%
Start (0-0) 7%
Rhodes (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Avon (0-0) 21%
Toledo Central Catholic (0-0) 14%
North Ridgeville (0-0) 10%
Olmsted Falls (0-0) 9%
Findlay (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 99.4, #374, D2 #71), 66% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 102.0