Region 6 home page
Region 6 projections
Region 6 playoff probabilities
Region 6 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 6 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#58 of 100 in Division 2
#12 of 26 in Region 6
Strength of schedule #52 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D2 (-72 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-14 H #394 Maumee (3-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 15 (25%), perf. rating 102
08/28 W 41-7 H #532 Sylvania Northview (0-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 24 (89%), perf. rating 122
09/04 L 37-20 A #98 Findlay (4-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 116
09/11 L 44-13 A #26 Perrysburg (6-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 118
09/18 L 57-14 A #40 Whitmer (5-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 97
09/25 W 37-9 H #420 Bowling Green (2-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 131
10/02 H #364 Napoleon (1-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 A #133 Fremont Ross (3-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/16 H #309 Liberty-Benton (1-5) D5 R18, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/23 A #326 Sylvania Southview (2-4) D2 R6, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R6 playoffs
Playoff chances now
44% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.70 ( 6.00-16.80) 53% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 28%
Lose: 7.15 ( 4.40-15.15) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 15.40 (14.60-16.80) 100% in, 97% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Waite (4-2) 24%
(30%) 6W: 11.55 (10.65-15.15) 97% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 29%
(35%) 5W: 9.25 ( 7.95-12.90) 30% in, proj. out (#9-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 31%
(23%) 4W: 7.07 ( 5.90- 9.90) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 3W: 5.35 ( 4.40- 7.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWW: 15.40 (14.60-16.80) 100% in, 97% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Waite (4-2) 24%
(28%) WLWW: 11.50 (10.65-13.60) 97% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 29%
( 5%) LLWW: 9.80 ( 8.70-11.25) 52% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 33%
(13%) WLLW: 9.25 ( 8.25-11.40) 34% in, proj. out (#9-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 35%
(16%) WLWL: 9.10 ( 7.95-11.05) 19% in, proj. out (#9-out), Lakewood (5-1) 32%
( 5%) LLWL: 7.10 ( 5.90- 9.75) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Fremont Ross (3-3) 40%
(14%) WLLL: 7.00 ( 6.00- 9.15) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Lakewood (5-1) 45%
( 8%) LLLL: 5.35 ( 4.40- 7.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 109.8, #295, D2 #58), 44% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 106.1, #315, D2 #59), 36% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 111.0, #291, D2 #59), 53% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 108.7, #300, D2 #61), 47% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 105.8, #322, D2 #63), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 98.7, #377, D2 #73), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 90.5, #438, D2 #80), 11% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 91.5