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Rankings
#85 of 107 in Division 3
#19 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #80 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D3 (-415 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 8-6 A #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 103
08/29 W 14-3 H #560 Worthington Christian (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 13 (26%), perf. rating 85
09/05 W 46-0 H #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 38 (98%), perf. rating 91
09/12 L 35-0 A #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 27 (5%), perf. rating 68
09/19 H #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/26 H #273 Columbus Academy (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 25 (6%)
10/03 A #328 Whitehall-Yearling (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/10 A #236 Bishop Ready (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/17 H #390 Franklin Heights (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/24 H #173 Buckeye Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.50 ( 3.15-22.05) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Granville (3-1) 19%
Lose: 2.20 ( 1.40-13.25) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 12.70 (10.30-17.00) 52% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out)
( 7%) 5W: 9.50 ( 7.35-13.25) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(26%) 4W: 6.45 ( 4.65-10.75) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(60%) 3W: 4.05 ( 3.15- 8.20) out, proj. out
( 6%) 2W: 2.20 ( 1.40- 3.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWLLWL: 9.55 ( 8.10-11.95) 3% in, proj. out (#12-out), Linden McKinley (4-0) 40%
( 2%) WLWLWL: 9.10 ( 7.60-12.05) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Hamilton Township (4-0) 33%
( 1%) WLLLLW: 8.50 ( 6.45-10.75) out
( 3%) WWLLLL: 6.75 ( 5.60- 9.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 100%
(16%) WLLLWL: 6.40 ( 5.45- 8.95) out
( 4%) WLWLLL: 6.28 ( 4.70- 8.30) out
(59%) WLLLLL: 4.05 ( 3.15- 6.40) out
( 6%) LLLLLL: 2.20 ( 1.40- 3.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 83.1, #467, D3 #85), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 83.9, #470, D3 #85), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 80.1, #498, D3 #90), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 69.5, #563, D3 #97), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 65.0, #586, D3 #101), 4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 58.6