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Rankings
#88 of 104 in Division 3
#21 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #85 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #359 Linden McKinley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 21 (17%)
08/28 A #470 Worthington Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 9 (33%)
09/04 A #687 Mifflin (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 37 (98%)
09/10 H #441 Grandview Heights (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 11 (26%)
09/18 A #603 Whetstone (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 A #211 Columbus Academy (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 34 (2%)
10/02 H #418 Whitehall-Yearling (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/09 H #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/16 A #338 Franklin Heights (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/23 A #205 Buckeye Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.45 ( 1.10-31.20) 47% in, 24% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 4.00 ( 0.00-28.25) 7% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.02 (16.35-29.05) 100% in, 97% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 53%
( 3%) 8W: 18.45 (12.80-27.65) 99% in, 77% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 16%
( 5%) 7W: 15.00 ( 8.75-22.30) 85% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 6W: 12.00 ( 6.35-19.10) 47% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 9.15 ( 4.05-16.75) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Athens (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 6.70 ( 2.65-15.35) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(20%) 3W: 4.45 ( 1.55-10.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(21%) 2W: 2.35 ( 1.05- 7.70) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.40- 4.95) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Athens (0-0) 8%
East (Columbus) (0-0) 7%
Sheridan (0-0) 6%
Jonathan Alder (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Valley (0-0) 12%
Licking Valley (0-0) 12%
Jackson (0-0) 12%
Steubenville (0-0) 8%
Granville (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 75.0, #531, D3 #92), 18% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 84.5