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Rankings
#6 of 107 in Division 3
#3 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #50 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D3 (+237 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 14-11 A #104 New Albany (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 147
08/29 W 53-14 H #326 Chillicothe (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 38 (97%), perf. rating 161
09/05 W 56-14 H #390 Franklin Heights (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 158
09/12 W 44-14 A #299 Indian Lake (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 156
09/19 H #222 Graham Local (4-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/26 A #345 Urbana (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/03 A #220 Bellefontaine (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/10 H #191 Jonathan Alder (4-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/17 A #542 Tecumseh (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 H #244 Kenton Ridge (3-1) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
32.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 31.95 (17.65-37.50) 100% in, 99% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 99%
Lose: 27.45 (15.65-32.55) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 92%
Based on eventual number of wins
(84%) 10W: 32.25 (26.55-37.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(14%) 9W: 28.15 (23.55-33.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) 8W: 24.25 (20.05-29.95) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 82%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(84%) WWWWWW: 32.25 (26.55-37.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WLWWWW: 29.85 (24.70-33.35) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) WWLWWW: 28.40 (24.40-32.95) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) WWWWWL: 28.10 (24.75-32.25) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) LWWWWW: 27.90 (23.70-32.55) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 4%) WWWLWW: 27.40 (23.55-32.10) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 153.9, #45, D3 #6), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 154.5, #43, D3 #5), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 148.2, #64, D3 #8), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 88% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 149.9, #65, D3 #8), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 59% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 155.2, #37, D3 #5), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 64% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 157.1