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Rankings
#4 of 101 in Division 4
#2 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #22 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 19 (81%)
08/28 A Arcadia Hamilton Hts. IN (0-0) D3
09/04 A #338 Franklin Heights (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 36 (98%)
09/11 H #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 A #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/25 H #349 Urbana (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/02 H #274 Bellefontaine (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/09 A #185 Jonathan Alder (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 H #520 Tecumseh (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 A #303 Kenton Ridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
27.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 4-6), 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 78% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.95 ( 1.15-40.25) 99% in, 97% home, 85% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 86%
Lose: 20.85 ( 0.00-33.45) 90% in, 77% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 55%
Based on eventual number of wins
(24%) 10W: 30.35 (21.10-40.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(37%) 9W: 27.10 (17.30-36.00) 100% in, 99% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 97%
(20%) 8W: 23.40 (14.85-31.90) 100% in, 99% home, 76% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#12), bye 76%
(10%) 7W: 19.55 (11.35-27.85) 99% in, 92% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 34%
( 5%) 6W: 15.95 ( 9.55-22.75) 96% in, 61% home, 7% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 7%
( 3%) 5W: 13.00 ( 6.55-19.00) 77% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
( 1%) 4W: 9.57 ( 4.65-15.60) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 1%) 3W: 6.65 ( 2.50-12.20) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Dunbar (0-0) 1%
Taylor (0-0) 1%
Roger Bacon (0-0) 1%
Washington (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 9%
Taft (0-0) 9%
Valley View (0-0) 9%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 8%
Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 106.2, #303, D4 #42), 50% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 151.2