Region 15 home page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 15 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#65 of 105 in Division 4
#16 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #20 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D4 (-288 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-6 A #319 Fredericktown (4-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (64%), perf. rating 87
08/29 L 28-0 H #223 Dalton (3-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 75
09/05 W 24-7 H #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 9 (69%), perf. rating 98
09/12 W 12-6 H #355 Marion Harding (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (30%), perf. rating 109
09/19 A #28 Shelby (4-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/26 A #52 Galion (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/03 H #375 River Valley (Caled.) (2-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/10 A #152 Clear Fork (3-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/17 H #140 Ontario (2-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/24 A #398 Pleasant (1-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.20 ( 6.75-18.45) 31% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out)
Lose: 4.90 ( 2.10-17.45) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 9.85 ( 8.50-14.60) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(28%) 4W: 6.25 ( 5.30-12.25) out, proj. out
(38%) 3W: 4.85 ( 3.45- 9.95) out, proj. out
(30%) 2W: 3.50 ( 2.10- 6.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWWLW: 9.90 ( 8.95-11.70) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), East (Columbus) (3-1) 43%
( 2%) LLWLWW: 9.40 ( 8.50-11.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Jonathan Alder (4-0) 100%
(25%) LLWLLW: 6.25 ( 5.30- 9.60) out
(19%) LLWLLL: 4.95 ( 3.95- 7.70) out
(18%) LLLLLW: 4.50 ( 3.45- 8.30) out
(30%) LLLLLL: 3.50 ( 2.10- 6.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 97.2, #392, D4 #65), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 96.1, #394, D4 #63), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 93.1, #415, D4 #69), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 92.5, #420, D4 #72), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 103.0, #330, D4 #53), 25% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 98.5