Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#67 of 105 in Division 5
#15 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #34 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D5 (-633 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-14 H #415 Centerburg (1-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 59
08/28 L 39-13 H #173 Danville (3-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 85
09/04 L 30-27 A #419 Fredericktown (2-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 9 (31%), perf. rating 89
09/11 H #343 Newcomerstown (2-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 18 (14%)
09/18 H #340 Zanesville (2-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #331 Heath (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #148 Johnstown (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/09 A #648 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/16 H #435 Northridge (1-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/24 A #442 Newark Catholic (3-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 7 (32%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.20 ( 1.85-19.40) 32% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 13%
Lose: 2.20 ( 0.00-16.60) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 13.75 (11.10-16.85) 99% in, 77% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#4-out), Vinton County (2-1) 10%
( 4%) 5W: 10.55 ( 8.30-13.95) 88% in, 14% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 15%
(10%) 4W: 7.75 ( 5.80-11.45) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 18%
(19%) 3W: 5.10 ( 3.55- 9.60) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(31%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.70- 7.15) out, proj. out
(33%) 1W: 0.50 ( 0.50- 4.30) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWLWWW: 13.47 (11.10-15.85) 99% in, 74% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#4-out), Meigs (2-1) 11%
( 2%) LLWLWWW: 7.95 ( 7.05- 9.60) 22% in, proj. out (#9-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 22%
( 2%) WLLLWWW: 7.70 ( 6.20-10.00) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 20%
( 8%) LLLLWWW: 4.70 ( 4.20- 7.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Wheelersburg (1-2) 100%
(10%) LLLLWLW: 2.60 ( 2.50- 4.95) out
(14%) LLLLWWL: 2.20 ( 1.70- 4.30) out
(32%) LLLLWLL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 1.95) out
( 2%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 83.2, #475, D5 #67), 7% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 83.0, #475, D5 #67), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 87.9, #438, D5 #64), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 88.5, #447, D5 #63), 23% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 88.4