Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#36 of 107 in Division 3
#13 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #34 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D3 (-72 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/23 L 21-19 A #91 Benedictine (4-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 141
08/29 W 28-12 A #195 Holy Name (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 21 (85%), perf. rating 150
09/05 L 42-13 H #81 Hawken (4-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 99
09/12 L 31-14 H #73 Lake Catholic (3-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 9 (30%), perf. rating 119
09/19 H #509 John Marshall (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 38 (99%)
09/27 A #407 University School (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/03 H #403 Cleveland Central Cath. (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/10 H #67 Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/17 H #439 Rhodes (3-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/24 H #194 Maple Heights (3-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
21.08 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#8 seed in R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (likely needs 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.12 ( 6.40-28.70) 85% in, 56% home, 9% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 7W: 25.31 (20.97-28.70) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 62%
(51%) 6W: 21.08 (16.38-25.17) 99% in, 85% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), East (Akron) (2-2) 12%
(33%) 5W: 16.59 (12.34-21.59) 69% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Maple Heights (3-1) 15%
( 5%) 4W: 13.41 (10.28-17.00) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WWWWWW: 25.31 (20.97-28.70) 100% in, 99% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 62%
(49%) WWWLWW: 21.08 (16.38-25.17) 99% in, 85% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), East (Akron) (2-2) 12%
( 3%) WWWWWL: 20.82 (17.04-23.60) 99% in, 81% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), East (Akron) (2-2) 11%
( 1%) WLWLWW: 18.20 (15.12-21.59) 96% in, 35% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), East (Akron) (2-2) 14%
(29%) WWWLWL: 16.49 (12.34-19.97) 66% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Maple Heights (3-1) 17%
( 2%) WLWLWL: 13.66 (11.95-16.04) 15% in, proj. out (#10-out), Cuyahoga Val. Christian (3-0) 22%
( 2%) WWLLWL: 13.41 (11.14-15.83) 9% in, proj. out (#10-out), Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) 19%
( 1%) WWWLLL: 12.05 (10.28-14.82) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out), Alliance (3-1) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 128.6, #169, D3 #36), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (likely needs 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 128.3, #173, D3 #38), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 35% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 141.6, #91, D3 #15), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 54% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 143.1, #84, D3 #13), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 143.3, #85, D3 #17), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 146.7