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Rankings
#37 of 102 in Division 3
#12 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #61 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D3 (+48 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 29-24 H #306 Cleveland Central Cath. (5-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 34 (94%), perf. rating 115
08/28 W 36-6 A #510 Lutheran West (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 125
09/04 L 26-21 H #207 Gilmour Academy (5-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 113
09/10 W 27-26 H #117 West Geauga (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 17 (16%), perf. rating 135
09/18 L 62-0 A #34 Perry (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 98
09/25 W 53-21 A #444 Orange (3-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 25 (94%), perf. rating 138
10/02 W 39-7 H #366 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 20 (90%), perf. rating 145
10/09 W 34-9 A #528 Jefferson Area (0-8) D4 R13, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 114
10/16 H #368 Geneva (3-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 H #108 North (Eastlake) (8-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
18.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 19% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.90 (17.50-25.55) 100% in, 60% home, 20% bye, proj. #8 (#1-#12), University School (6-2) 21%
Lose: 16.20 (15.25-22.30) 91% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Salem (7-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 8W: 24.00 (23.05-25.55) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 89%
(74%) 7W: 18.90 (17.50-22.30) 100% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-#12), University School (6-2) 26%
( 5%) 6W: 16.20 (15.25-17.30) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Salem (7-1) 19%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WW: 24.00 (23.05-25.55) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 89%
(73%) WL: 18.90 (17.50-20.45) 100% in, 48% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), University School (6-2) 26%
( 5%) LL: 16.20 (15.25-17.30) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Salem (7-1) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 123.3, #199, D3 #35), likely in, 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 119.7, #219, D3 #36), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 116.7, #246, D3 #45), 87% (likely needs 6-4), 52% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 117.5, #239, D3 #39), 84% (likely needs 6-4), 50% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 113.6, #268, D3 #50), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 112.4, #277, D3 #53), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 106.9, #310, D3 #61), 35% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 118.8, #213, D3 #41), 48% (bubble if 7-3), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Last season 119.4