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Rankings
#8 of 104 in Division 2
#3 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #2 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D2 (+508 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 49-13 A #98 South Range (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 197
08/29 W 48-20 A #151 Boardman (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (95%), perf. rating 176
09/05 W 34-28 H #108 Rocky River (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 146
09/12 W 31-15 H #82 Perry (Massillon) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 20 (88%), perf. rating 166
09/19 A #274 GlenOak (1-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 38 (99%)
09/26 H #147 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/03 H #92 Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/10 A #31 Canton McKinley (3-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/17 H #63 Hoover (4-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/24 A #83 Green (Uniontown) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
32.57 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#1 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 33.84 (16.33-41.76) 100% in, 99% home, 95% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#11), bye 95%
Based on eventual number of wins
(42%) 10W: 37.57 (33.68-41.76) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(37%) 9W: 32.57 (27.83-37.83) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(15%) 8W: 28.64 (24.15-34.60) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 93%
( 5%) 7W: 24.66 (20.11-29.40) 100% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 45%
( 1%) 6W: 21.58 (18.50-27.04) 100% in, 98% home, 9% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Green (Uniontown) (1-3) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(42%) WWWWWW: 37.57 (33.68-41.76) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) WWWWWL: 34.29 (29.09-37.83) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 2%) WWLWWW: 33.15 (29.29-36.87) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(26%) WWWLWW: 32.37 (27.83-37.32) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 5%) WWWWLW: 32.02 (28.73-36.92) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) WWWLWL: 29.40 (26.12-33.79) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 97%
( 5%) WWWLLW: 27.43 (24.25-31.72) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 86%
( 2%) WWWLLL: 24.35 (20.11-28.90) 100% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 43%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 166.2, #24, D2 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 162.2, #30, D2 #8), likely in and likely home, 86% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 168.5, #19, D2 #7), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 87% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 167.4, #21, D2 #8), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 5-5), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 148.7, #64, D2 #16), 84% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 5-5), 49% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 150.7