Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#494 Mansfield Senior Tygers (0-3) 80.9

Updated Sun 06-Sep-2026 12:41 PM
Week 3 complete

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Rankings
#81 of 104 in Division 3
#21 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #21 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #87 in D3 (-573 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-6 A #172 Hilliard Davidson (1-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 39 (4%), perf. rating 92
08/28 L 35-7 H #229 Tiffin Columbian (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 20 (16%), perf. rating 76
09/04 L 41-7 H #244 Watkins Memorial (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 64
09/11 A #165 West Holmes (2-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 36 (2%)
09/18 A #249 New Philadelphia (0-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/25 H #201 Lexington (0-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/02 A #164 Ashland (3-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/09 H #387 Wooster (0-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/16 H #169 Dover (1-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/23 A #237 Madison (Mansfield) (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 32 (2%)

Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R10 playoffs

Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)

Depending on the next game
Win: 3.85 ( 1.55-15.55) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-15.20) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)

Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 5.75 ( 3.40- 9.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 2W: 3.35 ( 1.65- 8.85) out, proj. out
(25%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.55- 5.50) out, proj. out
(67%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLLLWLL: 3.85 ( 2.65- 5.60) out
( 1%) LLLLWLW: 3.35 ( 2.75- 6.10) out
( 2%) LLLLLWL: 2.35 ( 1.20- 4.55) out
( 2%) LLLLLLW: 2.20 ( 1.60- 4.95) out
( 2%) LLWLLLL: 1.70 ( 0.55- 3.90) out
( 2%) LWLLLLL: 1.15 ( 0.55- 3.90) out
(16%) LLLLWLL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.80) out
(67%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 80.9, #494, D3 #81), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 89.9, #431, D3 #74), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 94.9, #403, D3 #73), 14% (bubble if 4-6), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 90.4, #440, D3 #78), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 87.9