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Rankings
#21 of 79 in Division 1
#6 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #27 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D1 (+190 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 34-13 A #147 Chardon (3-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 164
08/28 L 55-35 H #27 Hudson (6-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 6 (38%), perf. rating 131
09/04 L 19-17 H #26 Wadsworth (7-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 18 (16%), perf. rating 158
09/11 W 44-37 A #115 Warren G Harding (4-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 149
09/18 W 16-10 A #88 Green (Uniontown) (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 152
09/25 W 37-21 A #194 Perry (Massillon) (2-5) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 150
10/02 W 37-20 H #103 Lake (Uniontown) (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 162
10/09 H #237 GlenOak (1-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #16 Canton McKinley (6-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/23 H #117 Hoover (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 17 (87%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
21.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.95 (16.55-28.15) 100% in, 91% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Brunswick (5-2) 25%
Lose: 20.05 (15.20-24.95) 100% in, 67% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#10), Berea-Midpark (5-2) 41%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 8W: 26.90 (25.70-28.15) 100% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 70%
(76%) 7W: 21.95 (20.80-24.95) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Brunswick (5-2) 30%
(16%) 6W: 17.75 (16.55-21.80) 100% in, 47% home, proj. #9 (#5-#11), Berea-Midpark (5-2) 45%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 8%) WWW: 26.90 (25.70-28.15) 100% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 70%
(75%) WLW: 21.95 (20.80-23.75) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Brunswick (5-2) 30%
( 1%) LLW: 20.05 (18.90-21.80) 100% in, 88% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Berea-Midpark (5-2) 39%
(14%) WLL: 17.75 (16.55-20.00) 100% in, 43% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Berea-Midpark (5-2) 45%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 151.1, #52, D1 #21), appears locked in, 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 148.9, #63, D1 #27), appears locked in, 87% home (likely needs 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 149.2, #62, D1 #26), likely in, 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 150.5, #58, D1 #27), likely in, 69% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 148.9, #62, D1 #28), 94% (bubble if 2-8), 61% home (maybe if 5-5), 16% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 147.2, #66, D1 #25), 93% (bubble if 2-8), 65% home (maybe if 5-5), 25% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 150.1, #53, D1 #23), 92% (bubble if 2-8), 67% home (maybe if 5-5), 34% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 139.4, #99, D1 #37), 68% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 20% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 4-6
Last season 137.2