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Rankings
#37 of 80 in Division 1
#9 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #12 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #105 Chardon (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 H #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 25 (8%)
09/11 A #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/18 A #71 Green (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 A #98 Perry (Massillon) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/02 H #57 Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/09 H #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #30 Canton McKinley (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #70 Hoover (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
10.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
68% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 20% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.20 ( 0.55-42.75) 90% in, 67% home, 35% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 39%
Lose: 6.00 ( 0.00-38.15) 49% in, 24% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 36.65 (28.80-42.75) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 5%) 9W: 31.80 (23.95-39.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) 8W: 27.15 (19.15-36.75) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
( 8%) 7W: 22.60 (14.95-30.40) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 57%
(10%) 6W: 18.45 (11.65-27.80) 100% in, 96% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 20%
(11%) 5W: 14.50 ( 6.50-23.35) 99% in, 75% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Cleveland Heights (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 10.85 ( 4.85-17.85) 96% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(13%) 3W: 7.65 ( 2.90-15.90) 71% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Hudson (0-0) 11%
(13%) 2W: 4.60 ( 1.25-11.10) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 11%
(11%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.55- 6.30) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 6%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 6%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 6%
Brunswick (0-0) 6%
Strongsville (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 14%
St Edward (0-0) 13%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 13%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 12%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 139.4, #99, D1 #37), 68% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 20% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 4-6
Last season 137.2