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Rankings
#37 of 80 in Division 1
#9 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #12 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #105 Chardon (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 H #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 H #19 Wadsworth (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 25 (8%)
09/11 A #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/18 A #71 Green (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 A #98 Perry (Massillon) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/02 H #57 Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/09 H #217 GlenOak (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #30 Canton McKinley (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #70 Hoover (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
11.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
68% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 19% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.20 ( 1.10-43.30) 90% in, 68% home, 34% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 38%
Lose: 5.85 ( 0.00-36.40) 48% in, 23% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 36.75 (28.15-42.65) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 31.85 (23.15-43.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 6%) 8W: 27.05 (18.45-34.25) 100% in, 99% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 90%
( 8%) 7W: 22.60 (15.20-30.85) 100% in, 99% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 59%
(10%) 6W: 18.45 (11.15-26.45) 100% in, 97% home, 18% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 18%
(12%) 5W: 14.50 ( 7.25-23.55) 99% in, 74% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
(12%) 4W: 11.00 ( 5.40-18.05) 96% in, 34% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(13%) 3W: 7.60 ( 2.95-15.90) 72% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Strongsville (0-0) 9%
(13%) 2W: 4.55 ( 1.25-10.75) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
(11%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.60- 6.30) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 6%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 6%
Strongsville (0-0) 6%
Brunswick (0-0) 6%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
St Edward (0-0) 14%
Mentor (0-0) 14%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 12%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 139.5, #99, D1 #37), 68% (bubble if 3-7), 45% home (maybe if 4-6), 19% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 4-6
Last season 137.2