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Rankings
#98 of 103 in Division 7
#25 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #56 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #90 in D7 (-643 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 49-0 A #492 LaBrae (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 42 (3%), perf. rating 20
08/28 L 42-0 H #638 Champion (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating -16
09/04 L 56-0 H #488 Berkshire (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 17
09/11 A #684 Leetonia (1-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #366 Canton Central Catholic (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 A #650 Wellington (0-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 H #613 Mathews (2-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/09 H #563 Grand Valley (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/16 A #521 Pymatuning Valley (1-2) D6 R21, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/23 A #533 St John School (2-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 44 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.06 ( 0.70- 9.93) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 8.02) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 3.55 ( 2.26- 8.02) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.16 ( 1.10- 6.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(26%) 1W: 1.06 ( 0.40- 4.09) out, proj. out
(68%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLLW: 2.93 ( 1.06- 3.33) out
( 1%) WLLWLLL: 2.87 ( 2.16- 4.03) out
( 1%) LWLLLLL: 2.67 ( 1.56- 3.53) out
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 2.37 ( 1.66- 4.09) out
( 2%) WLWLLLL: 1.46 ( 1.10- 2.37) out
(19%) WLLLLLL: 1.06 ( 0.70- 2.22) out
( 3%) LLWLLLL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.41) out
(68%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 12.2, #693, D7 #98), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 14.9, #692, D7 #97), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 18.4, #689, D7 #96), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 18.9, #691, D7 #96), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 6.9