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Rankings
#71 of 103 in Division 7
#17 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #76 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D7 (-365 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 41-6 H #454 River (7-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 9 (66%), perf. rating 32
08/28 W 27-6 A #667 Fayetteville (3-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 68
09/04 W 7-0 H #637 Fisher Catholic (6-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 55
09/18 L 27-0 A #601 Chesapeake (2-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 8 (31%), perf. rating 20
09/25 L 34-7 A #592 South Gallia (5-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 7 (33%), perf. rating 22
10/02 W 42-7 H #698 Green (FF) (1-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 50
10/09 A #527 Eastern (Beaver) (4-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 H #309 Symmes Valley (7-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/23 H #697 Sciotoville Community (0-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
4-5 record
6.90 Harbin points (divisor 88)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
37% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.78 ( 8.49-14.66) 100% in, 14% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 46%
Lose: 6.90 ( 5.20-12.28) 35% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 35%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 9.90 ( 8.88-12.28) 100% in, 29% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 41%
(95%) 4W: 6.90 ( 5.99- 9.00) 35% in, proj. out (#9-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 36%
( 1%) 3W: 6.22 ( 5.20- 7.59) 16% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WLW: 9.78 ( 8.88-11.26) 100% in, 14% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 46%
(95%) LLW: 6.90 ( 5.99- 8.88) 35% in, proj. out (#9-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 36%
( 1%) LLL: 6.22 ( 5.20- 7.59) 16% in, proj. out (#11-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 41%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-3, 43.3, #644, D7 #71), 37% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-5
Week 6 (2-3, 41.5, #647, D7 #73), 28% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-5
Week 5 (2-2, 47.9, #634, D7 #68), 63% (bubble if 4-5), 6% home (likely needs 6-3), proj. #12 at 4-5
Week 4 (2-1, 52.9, #623, D7 #63), 82% (bubble if 4-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-3), proj. #11 at 5-4
Week 3 (2-1, 51.0, #627, D7 #67), 75% (bubble if 4-5), 25% home (maybe if 6-3), proj. #10 at 5-4
Week 2 (1-1, 48.4, #639, D7 #69), 60% (bubble if 4-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-3), 3% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #12 at 5-4
Week 1 (0-1, 41.8, #655, D7 #78), 36% (bubble if 4-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-3), 4% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. out at 4-5
Week 0 (0-0, 62.5, #593, D7 #57), 70% (bubble if 5-4), 48% home (maybe if 6-3), 23% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #9 at 6-3
Last season 67.7