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Rankings
#42 of 103 in Division 7
#10 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #79 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D7 (-86 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-27 H #418 South Point (6-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 86
08/28 W 49-7 A #687 Oak Hill (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 35 (96%), perf. rating 89
09/04 W 31-6 H #609 Minford (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 92
09/11 L 42-20 A #495 Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 51
09/18 W 28-7 A #598 Southern (Racine) (3-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 92
09/25 W 37-2 H #697 Sciotoville Community (0-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 50
10/02 L 35-7 A #309 Symmes Valley (7-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 69
10/09 H #644 Notre Dame (3-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 A #592 South Gallia (5-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/23 H #698 Green (FF) (1-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
10.10 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#9 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 6-4), 32% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.10 ( 6.39-12.09) 95% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 55%
Lose: 8.27 ( 4.56- 9.14) 65% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(78%) 7W: 10.10 ( 9.39-12.09) 100% in, 41% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 64%
(21%) 6W: 7.46 ( 7.10-10.21) 76% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 27%
( 1%) 5W: 5.63 ( 5.27- 7.21) 7% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(78%) WWW: 10.10 ( 9.39-12.09) 100% in, 41% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Fisher Catholic (6-1) 64%
( 2%) LWW: 8.27 ( 7.91- 9.14) 94% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 28%
(18%) WLW: 7.46 ( 7.10- 9.09) 72% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (5-2) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 76.1, #527, D7 #42), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 32% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 77.0, #516, D7 #39), 91% (bubble if 6-4), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 78.3, #507, D7 #36), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 75.2, #520, D7 #36), 90% (bubble if 6-4), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 84.9, #463, D7 #28), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 81.5, #483, D7 #32), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 19% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 76.8, #512, D7 #36), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 87.7, #450, D7 #25), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 81% home (maybe if 7-3), 58% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 90.4