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Rankings
#46 of 107 in Division 7
#13 of 27 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #79 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D7 (+123 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 13-6 A #589 South Point (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 76
08/29 W 40-35 H #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (74%), perf. rating 71
09/05 W 48-42 A #598 Minford (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 21 (88%), perf. rating 72
09/13 W 49-8 N Albany Clinton County KY (0-4) D5
09/19 H #684 Southern (Racine) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/26 A #704 Sciotoville Community (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/03 H #480 Symmes Valley (4-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/10 A #590 Notre Dame (4-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/17 H #516 South Gallia (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 A #708 Green (FF) (0-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
15.34 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#5 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 76% home (maybe if 8-2), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.06 ( 6.48-22.63) 99% in, 77% home, 33% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 10W: 18.85 (16.40-22.63) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(31%) 9W: 15.34 (12.43-20.39) 100% in, 99% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 40%
(31%) 8W: 11.98 ( 8.97-17.13) 100% in, 75% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Notre Dame (4-0) 17%
(17%) 7W: 9.23 ( 6.73-14.13) 97% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Notre Dame (4-0) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(20%) WWWWWW: 18.85 (16.40-22.63) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 4%) WWWLWW: 15.62 (13.45-18.30) 100% in, 99% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 30%
(10%) WWWWLW: 15.49 (13.24-19.01) 100% in, 99% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 47%
(17%) WWLWWW: 15.03 (12.43-18.55) 100% in, 99% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 37%
( 4%) WWWLLW: 12.44 (10.34-15.85) 100% in, 65% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), New Bremen (4-0) 17%
( 6%) WWLLWW: 11.98 ( 9.02-14.83) 100% in, 55% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), New Bremen (4-0) 18%
(20%) WWLWLW: 11.87 ( 8.97-16.01) 100% in, 82% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#11), Notre Dame (4-0) 23%
(16%) WWLLLW: 8.92 ( 6.73-12.54) 97% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Notre Dame (4-0) 16%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 74.4, #533, D7 #46), likely in, 76% home (maybe if 8-2), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 76.2, #526, D7 #45), likely in, 89% home (maybe if 7-3), 48% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 77.4, #527, D7 #44), likely in, 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 50% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 76.6, #530, D7 #45), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 78.5, #524, D7 #41), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 81.4