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Rankings
#35 of 100 in Division 2
#10 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #72 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D2 (+90 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 51-17 A #341 North Olmsted (3-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 156
08/28 W 42-0 A #446 Valley Forge (0-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 18 (82%), perf. rating 152
09/04 W 27-8 H #266 University School (4-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 140
09/11 W 21-0 H #429 Harvey (2-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 119
09/18 W 22-21 A #152 Chardon (2-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 133
09/25 W 35-0 A #493 Lutheran West (1-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 134
10/02 H #486 Lakeside (1-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/08 A #227 Madison (2-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/16 H #110 South (Willoughby) (6-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/23 A #219 Hawken (4-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 88% home (maybe if 8-2), 38% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.50 (14.75-32.35) 100% in, 89% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 38%
Lose: 20.55 (13.65-29.50) 100% in, 59% home, 12% bye, proj. #8 (#2-#12), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(33%) 10W: 29.50 (26.15-32.35) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(39%) 9W: 24.40 (21.55-29.50) 100% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#8), Brush (3-3) 30%
(21%) 8W: 20.60 (17.90-25.70) 100% in, 75% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 30%
( 7%) 7W: 17.00 (14.75-21.35) 100% in, 9% home, proj. #10 (#7-#12), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 23%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(33%) WWWW: 29.50 (26.15-32.35) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) WLWW: 26.35 (23.50-29.10) 100% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), North Royalton (3-3) 33%
( 5%) WWWL: 25.85 (23.15-28.20) 100% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), North Royalton (3-3) 30%
(29%) WWLW: 23.95 (21.55-26.75) 100% home, 9% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Brush (3-3) 33%
( 1%) WLWL: 22.55 (19.90-24.25) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Brush (3-3) 32%
( 8%) WLLW: 20.70 (17.90-23.40) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (3-3) 30%
(11%) WWLL: 20.20 (18.00-23.05) 100% in, 67% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 33%
( 7%) WLLL: 16.95 (14.75-19.35) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#7-#12), Riverside (Painesville) (3-3) 23%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (6-0, 133.5, #129, D2 #35), appears locked in, 88% home (maybe if 8-2), 38% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 132.3, #139, D2 #36), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 131.7, #138, D2 #40), 98% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 134.8, #123, D2 #34), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 80% home (maybe if 7-3), 37% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 138.0, #102, D2 #32), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 124.1, #183, D2 #48), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 104.3, #321, D2 #67), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 5-5
Last season 108.0