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Rankings
#28 of 100 in Division 2
#9 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #70 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D2 (+99 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 51-17 A #349 North Olmsted (3-5) D2 R6, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 155
08/28 W 42-0 A #462 Valley Forge (1-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 18 (82%), perf. rating 150
09/04 W 27-8 H #236 University School (6-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 144
09/11 W 21-0 H #388 Harvey (3-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 125
09/18 W 22-21 A #128 Chardon (3-5) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 137
09/25 W 35-0 A #510 Lutheran West (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 132
10/02 W 56-24 H #463 Lakeside (2-6) D3 R9, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 131
10/08 W 37-7 A #290 Madison (2-6) D3 R9, pick: W by 21 (92%), perf. rating 157
10/16 H #90 South (Willoughby) (8-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 A #204 Hawken (6-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 97% home (maybe if 8-2), 41% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 29.55 (23.60-31.85) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 86%
Lose: 23.90 (18.60-25.75) 100% in, 94% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#10), Brush (5-3) 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
(40%) 10W: 29.55 (27.80-31.85) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#5), bye 98%
(45%) 9W: 24.45 (22.70-27.20) 100% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#7), Brush (5-3) 38%
(15%) 8W: 19.80 (18.60-22.05) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (4-4) 43%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(40%) WW: 29.55 (27.80-31.85) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 7%) WL: 25.40 (23.60-27.20) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#6), North Royalton (3-5) 31%
(38%) LW: 23.95 (22.70-25.75) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Brush (5-3) 39%
(15%) LL: 19.80 (18.60-22.05) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (4-4) 43%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 134.2, #128, D2 #34), appears locked in, 89% home (maybe if 8-2), 42% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 133.5, #129, D2 #35), appears locked in, 88% home (maybe if 8-2), 38% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 132.3, #139, D2 #36), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 32% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 131.7, #138, D2 #40), 98% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 134.8, #123, D2 #34), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 80% home (maybe if 7-3), 37% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 138.0, #102, D2 #32), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 124.1, #183, D2 #48), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 104.3, #321, D2 #67), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 5-5
Last season 108.0