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Rankings
#2 of 105 in Division 5
#1 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #7 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #218 Madison (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 28 (90%)
08/28 A #148 Kenston (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 20 (84%)
09/04 H #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/11 A #547 Jefferson Area (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 H #213 Hawken (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 A #97 Geneva (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/02 A #456 Orange (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/09 H #105 Chardon (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/16 H #398 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/23 H #240 West Geauga (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
29.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 4-6), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.85 ( 2.15-41.65) 98% in, 94% home, 84% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 85%
Lose: 17.25 ( 0.00-34.10) 81% in, 65% home, 41% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 50%
Based on eventual number of wins
(25%) 10W: 33.60 (25.10-41.65) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(26%) 9W: 29.40 (19.70-38.45) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(19%) 8W: 25.10 (16.70-34.15) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 97%
(12%) 7W: 20.85 (13.10-28.30) 100% in, 99% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 70%
( 8%) 6W: 16.95 (10.00-24.25) 99% in, 86% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 22%
( 5%) 5W: 13.20 ( 7.85-20.10) 90% in, 42% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Liberty (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 4W: 9.65 ( 5.00-16.75) 53% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 3W: 6.50 ( 3.25-12.20) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.88 ( 1.85- 7.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Liberty (0-0) 2%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 1%
Berkshire (0-0) 1%
Edison (Richmond) (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
Girard (0-0) 11%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 7%
Barnesville (0-0) 6%
Liberty (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 102.7, #340, D5 #44), 64% (bubble if 6-4), 35% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Last season 150.8