Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#56 of 102 in Division 3
#20 of 26 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #80 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D3 (-9 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 26-12 H #437 Niles McKinley (3-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating 108
08/28 W 34-26 H #219 Hubbard (5-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 15 (23%), perf. rating 130
09/04 W 37-12 H #574 Shaw (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (73%), perf. rating 101
09/11 L 34-0 A #113 West Branch (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 88
09/18 W 27-7 A #365 Carrollton (2-6) D4 R15, pick: W by 9 (71%), perf. rating 132
09/25 W 40-7 H #461 Marlington (2-6) D4 R13, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 133
10/02 L 39-14 A #252 Alliance (5-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 80
10/09 W 28-14 H #247 Salem (7-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 16 (15%), perf. rating 135
10/16 H #532 Minerva (3-5) D4 R15, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 H #236 University School (6-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 6-4), 37% home (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.10 (16.20-22.30) 96% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Gilmour Academy (5-3) 15%
Lose: 14.85 (13.85-19.55) 70% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Hawken (6-2) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 8W: 20.30 (19.80-22.30) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Kenston (4-4) 20%
(59%) 7W: 16.70 (16.20-19.55) 94% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Salem (7-1) 20%
( 1%) 6W: 14.85 (13.85-16.15) 61% in, proj. #12 (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WW: 20.30 (19.80-22.30) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), Kenston (4-4) 20%
(59%) WL: 16.70 (16.20-18.20) 94% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Salem (7-1) 20%
( 1%) LL: 14.85 (13.85-16.15) 61% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Glenville (6-2) 27%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 106.2, #320, D3 #63), 34% (likely needs 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 6 (5-1, 112.2, #277, D3 #54), 59% (bubble if 7-3), 23% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 106.8, #313, D3 #63), 39% (bubble if 7-3), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 102.0, #347, D3 #66), 30% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (3-0, 104.4, #337, D3 #66), 45% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 93.7, #405, D3 #71), 14% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 83.8, #468, D3 #82), 6% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 80.4, #493, D3 #86), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 79.6