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Rankings
#11 of 102 in Division 4
#2 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #52 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D4 (+108 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 37-6 A #451 St Clairsville (2-5) D4 R15, pick: W by 24 (86%), perf. rating 135
08/28 W 35-7 A #210 New Philadelphia (3-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (89%), perf. rating 165
09/04 W 34-8 H #477 Struthers (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 120
09/11 W 34-0 H #320 Howland (5-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 155
09/18 W 42-0 A #411 Marlington (2-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 158
09/25 L 24-14 H #140 Canfield (2-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 20 (90%), perf. rating 115
10/02 W 31-7 A #414 Carrollton (1-6) D4 R15, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 131
10/09 A #518 Minerva (3-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/16 H #255 Alliance (4-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/23 H #187 Salem (7-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 95% home (likely needs 8-2), 69% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.90 (13.65-26.75) 100% in, 95% home, 70% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 70%
Lose: 21.20 (11.30-24.70) 99% in, 71% home, 30% bye, proj. #6 (#3-out), bye 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(74%) 9W: 24.10 (22.00-26.75) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 92%
(23%) 8W: 19.20 (16.80-24.70) 100% in, 88% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Orrville (6-1) 25%
( 3%) 7W: 15.25 (13.65-19.45) 100% in, 17% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Orrville (6-1) 42%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(74%) WWW: 24.10 (22.00-26.75) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 92%
( 4%) WLW: 20.40 (18.80-22.90) 100% in, 98% home, 11% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Poland Seminary (4-3) 23%
(18%) WWL: 18.90 (16.80-21.90) 100% in, 85% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#10), Orrville (6-1) 31%
( 2%) WLL: 15.20 (13.65-17.65) 100% in, 12% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Orrville (6-1) 40%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 135.8, #119, D4 #11), likely in, 95% home (likely needs 8-2), 69% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 138.3, #103, D4 #9), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 66% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 149.9, #58, D4 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 87% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 148.5, #64, D4 #4), likely in and likely home, 84% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 144.8, #69, D4 #4), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 73% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 147.7, #63, D4 #4), likely in and likely home, 84% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 146.3, #70, D4 #4), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 82% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 141.3, #89, D4 #7), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 90% home (maybe if 6-4), 71% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 141.6