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Rankings
#77 of 101 in Division 4
#17 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #47 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #573 Warrensville Heights (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 A #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 33 (5%)
09/04 H #159 Norton (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 35 (3%)
09/11 H #562 Minerva (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 H #89 West Branch (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/25 A #493 Howland (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/02 A #237 Salem (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/09 H #421 Carrollton (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 H #383 Mogadore (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/23 A #201 Alliance (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
20% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.30 ( 0.50-34.40) 27% in, 8% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
Lose: 1.95 ( 0.00-20.90) 4% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 20.15 (14.70-26.20) 100% in, 98% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 41%
( 3%) 7W: 16.60 (10.65-24.35) 99% in, 76% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 9%
( 6%) 6W: 13.35 ( 7.95-19.75) 91% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Orrville (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 10.15 ( 5.50-17.25) 57% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 12%
(16%) 4W: 7.50 ( 3.40-15.55) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 12%
(19%) 3W: 5.15 ( 1.75-12.55) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 15%
(20%) 2W: 3.30 ( 0.85- 8.85) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(15%) 1W: 1.45 ( 0.35- 5.30) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
Norton (0-0) 8%
Orrville (0-0) 8%
Hubbard (0-0) 7%
Rocky River (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Streetsboro (0-0) 18%
West Branch (0-0) 15%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Norton (0-0) 12%
Rocky River (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 91.9, #429, D4 #66), 57% (bubble if 6-4), 25% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 82.5