Region 13 home page
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Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 13 page
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Team history page
Rankings
#72 of 102 in Division 4
#16 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #39 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #52 in D4 (-210 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 26-12 A #288 Howland (6-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 10 (32%), perf. rating 92
08/28 L 34-7 H #237 Liberty (7-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 75
09/04 W 33-26 A #454 Ravenna (4-4) D5 R17, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 99
09/11 L 51-20 A #219 Hubbard (5-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 19 (13%), perf. rating 76
09/18 W 14-11 H #473 Lakeview (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 87
09/25 W 41-6 H #574 Shaw (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 116
10/02 L 41-0 A #150 Poland Seminary (4-4) D4 R13, pick: L by 34 (1%), perf. rating 71
10/09 L 41-2 H #50 South Range (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 92
10/16 H #494 Struthers (0-8) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #82 Girard (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.15 ( 6.15-11.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 5.65 ( 5.65-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(73%) 4W: 6.15 ( 6.15-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(26%) 3W: 5.65 ( 5.65- 7.75) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(73%) WL: 6.15 ( 6.15- 7.75) out
(26%) LL: 5.65 ( 5.65- 7.75) out
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (3-5, 88.8, #438, D4 #72), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 7 (3-4, 88.0, #443, D4 #75), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 90.8, #423, D4 #69), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 83.6, #477, D4 #78), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 83.7, #473, D4 #77), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 88.8, #440, D4 #72), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 72.3, #544, D4 #84), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 68.8, #567, D4 #89), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #542, D4 #85), 7% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 69.3