Region 13 home page
Region 13 projections
Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 13 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#91 of 105 in Division 4
#22 of 26 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #27 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D4 (-780 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 10-8 H #527 Howland (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 71
08/29 L 35-0 A #313 Liberty (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 7 (36%), perf. rating 58
09/05 L 27-21 H #485 Ravenna (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 70
09/12 L 51-7 H #201 Hubbard (4-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 58
09/19 A #378 Lakeview (2-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/26 H #238 Chaney (1-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 H #126 Poland Seminary (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/10 A #98 South Range (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/17 A #387 Struthers (0-4) D4 R13, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/24 H #137 Girard (4-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 41 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.86 ( 1.36- 6.71) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.70) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 3.02 ( 1.56- 8.73) out, proj. out
(13%) 1W: 1.36 ( 0.50- 4.79) out, proj. out
(85%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLLLLL: 1.86 ( 1.36- 2.87) out
( 2%) LWLLLL: 1.66 ( 1.06- 2.77) out
( 5%) LLLLWL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 1.96) out
(85%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 72.3, #546, D4 #91), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 72.8, #547, D4 #92), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 78.0, #524, D4 #87), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 89.8, #441, D4 #75), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 95.0, #403, D4 #66), 27% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 83.2