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Rankings
#82 of 100 in Division 2
#19 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #62 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D2 (-750 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 49-7 A #135 Norton (5-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 72
08/29 L 28-12 H #264 Revere (4-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 88
09/04 L 43-6 A #156 Copley (5-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 35 (3%), perf. rating 76
09/12 L 34-0 H #151 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (3-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 77
09/18 L 41-6 A #249 Padua Franciscan (3-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 27 (5%), perf. rating 66
09/26 L 36-6 H #213 East (Akron) (5-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 74
10/03 H #663 North (Akron) (1-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/10 H #534 Firestone (1-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/17 A #302 Buchtel (3-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/23 A #537 Ellet (1-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.50 ( 1.05- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 4W: 7.90 ( 7.80- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(50%) 3W: 4.50 ( 4.50- 6.85) out, proj. out
(33%) 2W: 2.85 ( 2.70- 5.20) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 1.05 ( 1.05- 3.40) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWW: 7.90 ( 7.80- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Wadsworth (6-0) 100%
(48%) WWLW: 4.50 ( 4.50- 5.60) out
(20%) WWLL: 2.85 ( 2.85- 4.00) out
(12%) WLLW: 2.70 ( 2.70- 3.30) out
(13%) WLLL: 1.05 ( 1.05- 1.65) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (0-6, 81.2, #488, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (0-5, 83.9, #473, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 86.1, #458, D2 #81), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 88.7, #443, D2 #80), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 86.0, #456, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 88.6, #432, D2 #79), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 94.4, #407, D2 #76), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 96.1