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Rankings
#85 of 100 in Division 2
#19 of 24 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #66 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D2 (-576 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 49-7 A #152 Norton (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 69
08/29 L 28-12 H #246 Revere (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 90
09/04 L 43-6 A #163 Copley (6-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 35 (3%), perf. rating 74
09/12 L 34-0 H #194 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (4-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 35 (2%), perf. rating 71
09/18 L 41-6 A #218 Padua Franciscan (4-4) D3 R10, pick: L by 27 (5%), perf. rating 70
09/26 L 36-6 H #230 East (Akron) (7-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 72
10/03 W 49-0 H #673 North (Akron) (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 94
10/10 W 27-26 H #536 Firestone (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (79%), perf. rating 73
10/17 A #362 Buchtel (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/24 A #513 Ellet (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.90 ( 6.25- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 2.85 ( 2.85- 5.00) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 4W: 7.90 ( 7.90- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(46%) 3W: 4.50 ( 4.50- 6.85) out, proj. out
(49%) 2W: 2.85 ( 2.85- 3.45) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 5%) WW: 7.90 ( 7.90- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Mayfield (8-0) 100%
( 3%) WL: 6.25 ( 6.25- 6.85) out
(44%) LW: 4.50 ( 4.50- 5.00) out
(49%) LL: 2.85 ( 2.85- 3.45) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 82.8, #487, D2 #83), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (0-6, 81.2, #488, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (0-5, 83.9, #473, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 86.1, #458, D2 #81), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 88.7, #443, D2 #80), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 86.0, #456, D2 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 88.6, #432, D2 #79), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 94.4, #407, D2 #76), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 96.1