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Rankings
#88 of 100 in Division 2
#21 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #89 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D2 (-933 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 21-0 A #250 Tallmadge (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 87
08/28 L 30-20 H #482 Field (1-2) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 65
09/04 L 29-7 H #314 Kent Roosevelt (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 72
09/11 H #366 Canton Central Catholic (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 A #505 Shaw (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/25 H #570 Firestone (0-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/03 H #207 East (Akron) (2-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 A #243 Buchtel (1-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/17 A #663 North (Akron) (1-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 H #443 Garfield (0-3) D2 R5, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.35 ( 2.00-17.70) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Glenville (2-1) 19%
Lose: 3.30 ( 0.00-15.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 12.60 (10.90-15.40) 43% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 6%) 5W: 8.90 ( 7.05-12.90) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(17%) 4W: 6.40 ( 4.80-11.05) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(28%) 3W: 4.55 ( 3.30- 9.25) out, proj. out
(31%) 2W: 2.75 ( 1.55- 6.50) out, proj. out
(15%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.60- 4.95) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWWWLWW: 10.35 ( 8.85-11.90) 14% in, proj. out (#11-out), Villa Angela-St Joseph (1-2) 21%
( 4%) WWWLLWW: 8.70 ( 7.05-11.25) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Glenville (2-1) 33%
(12%) LWWLLWW: 5.90 ( 5.10- 8.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Brecksville-Broadvw Hts (1-2) 50%
( 9%) LLWLLWW: 4.55 ( 4.15- 6.20) out
(15%) LWWLLWL: 4.10 ( 3.30- 6.30) out
(24%) LLWLLWL: 2.75 ( 2.35- 4.30) out
(14%) LLLLLWL: 1.55 ( 1.15- 2.50) out
( 1%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 77.5, #516, D2 #88), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 79.1, #501, D2 #85), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 86.1, #454, D2 #83), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 88.9, #445, D2 #82), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 93.8