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Rankings
#84 of 100 in Division 2
#22 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #77 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #396 Barberton (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 12 (29%)
08/28 A #164 Copley (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 34 (4%)
09/05 A #429 Lutheran East (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 8 (33%)
09/11 A #330 St Vincent-St Mary (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 A #142 Maple Heights (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 A #445 Ellet (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/02 H #261 Buchtel (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/10 A #407 Kenmore-Garfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 A #172 East (Akron) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/24 H #626 North (Akron) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.55 ( 0.60-32.25) 33% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Glenville (0-0) 8%
Lose: 3.25 ( 0.00-25.60) 7% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Glenville (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 21.60 (15.85-28.35) 99% in, 91% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 23%
( 3%) 8W: 17.90 (11.70-27.45) 99% in, 65% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 7W: 14.95 ( 9.40-22.75) 87% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Glenville (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 6W: 12.25 ( 6.55-21.45) 58% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Glenville (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 5W: 9.85 ( 4.55-16.70) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Glenville (0-0) 13%
(12%) 4W: 7.45 ( 3.10-14.40) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Glenville (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 5.30 ( 1.65-12.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(20%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.10- 8.80) out, proj. out
(21%) 1W: 1.40 ( 0.50- 5.90) out, proj. out
( 7%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Glenville (0-0) 9%
Nordonia (0-0) 8%
Archbishop Hoban (0-0) 8%
Twinsburg (0-0) 7%
Boardman (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Highland (Medina) (0-0) 19%
Wadsworth (0-0) 14%
Glenville (0-0) 13%
Walsh Jesuit (0-0) 11%
Villa Angela-St Joseph (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 86.2, #462, D2 #84), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 80.3