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Rankings
#89 of 104 in Division 2
#22 of 27 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #69 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #92 in D2 (-695 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 52-7 A #108 Rocky River (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 12 (29%), perf. rating 79
08/29 L 49-19 A #159 Copley (3-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 24 (11%), perf. rating 87
09/05 L 45-7 A #177 Manchester (Akron) (4-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 72
09/12 L 49-7 A #279 South (Willoughby) (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 51
09/19 A #216 Mayfield (2-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/27 A #240 Buchtel (0-4) D4 R13, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/04 H #495 Kenmore-Garfield (1-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/11 H #211 East (Akron) (2-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/17 A #629 North (Akron) (1-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/25 H #466 Ellet (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.67 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.20 ( 2.82-14.56) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 3.17 ( 0.00-12.65) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 7.91 ( 6.64-10.58) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(33%) 3W: 4.93 ( 4.33- 8.92) out, proj. out
(36%) 2W: 2.67 ( 2.61- 6.71) out, proj. out
(23%) 1W: 1.00 ( 1.00- 3.98) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLWWWW: 9.04 ( 8.16-10.43) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Walsh Jesuit (4-0) 50%
(31%) LLWLWW: 4.93 ( 4.83- 6.85) out
( 2%) LLWLLW: 3.88 ( 2.67- 5.04) out
(14%) LLLLWW: 2.67 ( 2.61- 4.84) out
(20%) LLWLWL: 2.66 ( 2.66- 4.79) out
( 2%) LLWLLL: 1.66 ( 1.05- 2.77) out
(19%) LLLLWL: 1.00 ( 1.00- 2.57) out
( 4%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 82.2, #476, D2 #89), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 85.3, #460, D2 #87), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 85.9, #459, D2 #86), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 89.6, #443, D2 #85), 9% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 104.1, #319, D2 #69), 38% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 105.7