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Rankings
#10 of 79 in Division 1
#3 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #11 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #3 in D1 (+540 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-3 H #65 Pickerington Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 191
08/28 W 24-7 H #62 Springboro (4-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 11 (71%), perf. rating 171
09/04 W 14-13 A #30 Olentangy Liberty (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 165
09/11 W 34-9 H #57 Olentangy Orange (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (66%), perf. rating 184
09/18 W 10-7 A #68 Hilliard Darby (4-3) D1 R2, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 151
09/25 W 38-0 A #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 151
10/02 W 35-3 H #60 New Albany (5-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 18 (88%), perf. rating 194
10/09 A #125 Westerville Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 H #138 Grove City (4-3) D1 R2, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #12 Pickerington North (6-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
36.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 37.00 (29.95-44.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 32.05 (27.50-39.05) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(30%) 10W: 42.10 (37.65-44.15) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(66%) 9W: 36.40 (32.50-39.65) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 4%) 8W: 32.00 (29.40-34.60) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(30%) WWW: 42.10 (37.65-44.15) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(65%) WWL: 36.40 (32.50-39.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 2%) LWL: 32.00 (29.40-34.60) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 2%) WLL: 31.90 (29.95-34.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 170.2, #18, D1 #10), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 167.2, #21, D1 #11), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 168.0, #21, D1 #10), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 175.5, #17, D1 #8), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 171.8, #18, D1 #9), likely in and likely home, 90% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 175.2, #14, D1 #6), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 88% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 171.1, #16, D1 #8), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 85% home (maybe if 6-4), 61% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 152.7, #47, D1 #22), 75% (bubble if 4-6), 49% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 149.8