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Rankings
#52 of 79 in Division 1
#14 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #70 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D1 (-65 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 14-6 H #452 Africentric Early Coll. (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 97
08/28 L 45-7 A #2 Archbishop Moeller (5-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 31 (6%), perf. rating 133
09/04 W 42-7 H #334 Marion-Franklin (3-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 155
09/11 W 35-14 H #311 Newark (3-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 22 (90%), perf. rating 137
09/18 W 27-14 A #271 Lancaster (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 9 (71%), perf. rating 134
09/25 W 21-12 A #186 Teays Valley (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 140
10/02 L 26-7 H #108 Reynoldsburg (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 108
10/09 A #65 Pickerington Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/16 H #499 Logan (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #83 Canal Winchester (4-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 14% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.15 (16.70-25.20) 100% in, 72% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), St Charles (7-0) 24%
Lose: 15.15 (12.25-21.40) 96% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 23.30 (21.60-25.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Westerville Central (4-3) 25%
(20%) 7W: 19.00 (16.70-22.70) 100% in, 55% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), St Charles (7-0) 44%
(76%) 6W: 15.15 (12.90-19.00) 96% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 28%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWW: 23.30 (21.60-25.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Westerville Central (4-3) 25%
(12%) LWW: 19.23 (17.25-21.40) 100% in, 50% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), St Charles (7-0) 52%
( 8%) WWL: 19.00 (16.70-20.90) 100% in, 62% home, proj. #8 (#6-#12), St Charles (7-0) 31%
(76%) LWL: 15.15 (12.90-17.70) 96% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 128.4, #160, D1 #52), 96% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 6 (5-1, 134.5, #126, D1 #45), 98% (likely in at 6-4 or better), 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 133.4, #130, D1 #46), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 131.2, #140, D1 #46), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (likely needs 7-3), 8% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 127.5, #162, D1 #48), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 126.4, #171, D1 #49), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 134.5, #124, D1 #44), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 141.1, #90, D1 #34), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 62% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 139.8