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Rankings
#48 of 80 in Division 1
#12 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #73 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #39 in D1 (-3 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 14-6 H #390 Africentric Early Coll. (0-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 107
08/28 L 45-7 A #14 Archbishop Moeller (1-2) D1 R4, pick: L by 31 (6%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 42-7 H #430 Marion-Franklin (0-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 140
09/11 H #313 Newark (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 22 (90%)
09/18 A #266 Lancaster (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 12 (77%)
09/25 A #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (31%)
10/02 H #160 Reynoldsburg (1-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/09 A #86 Pickerington Central (0-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 H #500 Logan (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #107 Canal Winchester (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
78% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.05 ( 5.05-29.70) 83% in, 40% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Charles (3-0) 14%
Lose: 9.65 ( 2.50-26.00) 31% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), St Charles (3-0) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 9W: 27.30 (22.60-29.70) 100% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 46%
(13%) 8W: 22.90 (18.05-27.75) 100% in, 99% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), St Charles (3-0) 13%
(20%) 7W: 19.10 (13.95-24.65) 99% in, 70% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), St Charles (3-0) 19%
(25%) 6W: 15.40 (10.65-21.05) 96% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), St Charles (3-0) 16%
(22%) 5W: 12.30 ( 6.25-18.55) 62% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 14%
(11%) 4W: 9.80 ( 4.90-14.55) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 20%
( 3%) 3W: 7.75 ( 3.15-11.70) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WWWWWWW: 27.30 (22.60-29.70) 100% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 46%
( 5%) WWWWLWW: 23.18 (18.85-27.15) 100% in, 98% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), St Charles (3-0) 16%
( 5%) WWLWLWW: 19.15 (14.40-22.80) 99% in, 70% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), St Charles (3-0) 21%
( 6%) WWWWLWL: 19.05 (14.90-22.70) 100% in, 68% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), St Charles (3-0) 19%
(11%) WWLWLWL: 15.40 (10.75-19.65) 98% in, 17% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Pickerington Central (0-3) 18%
(13%) WWLLLWL: 12.20 ( 7.50-16.50) 57% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 17%
( 8%) WLLLLWL: 10.30 ( 5.05-14.55) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) 23%
( 3%) LLLLLWL: 7.25 ( 3.15-10.85) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Olentangy Berlin (2-1) 67%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 127.5, #162, D1 #48), 78% (bubble if 5-5), 37% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 126.4, #171, D1 #49), 67% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 134.5, #124, D1 #44), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 7-3), 13% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 141.1, #90, D1 #34), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 62% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 139.8