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Rankings
#12 of 80 in Division 1
#5 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #50 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #50 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 A #2 Bishop Watterson (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 28 (8%)
09/04 H #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (41%)
09/11 A #507 Logan (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 H #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 A #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/02 H #184 Newark (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/09 H #90 Groveport Madison (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/23 H #239 Reynoldsburg (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
22.48 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#4 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 4-6), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.68 ( 2.56-42.31) 98% in, 90% home, 66% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 67%
Lose: 17.90 ( 0.00-36.81) 82% in, 56% home, 20% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 36.20 (29.43-42.31) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(21%) 9W: 32.01 (23.12-38.68) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(23%) 8W: 27.22 (19.70-34.65) 100% in, 99% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 80%
(18%) 7W: 22.48 (15.46-30.11) 100% in, 98% home, 24% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 24%
(14%) 6W: 17.84 (11.88-27.34) 99% in, 66% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 5W: 13.50 ( 7.54-21.13) 90% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 4W: 9.72 ( 6.19-17.50) 43% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 3%) 3W: 6.24 ( 3.06-14.07) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.37 ( 1.81- 8.17) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 4%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 4%
Olentangy (0-0) 4%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Pickerington North (0-0) 13%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 10%
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 9%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 9%
Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 161.5, #26, D1 #12), 92% (bubble if 4-6), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 164.0