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Rankings
#48 of 79 in Division 1
#12 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #34 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #44 in D1 (-70 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-27 H #83 Canal Winchester (4-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 141
08/28 W 48-47 A #127 Westland (5-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 5 (60%), perf. rating 138
09/04 L 56-21 A #55 Hilliard Bradley (5-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 100
09/11 W 49-14 H #326 Thomas Worthington (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 17 (84%), perf. rating 155
09/18 W 42-35 A #198 Dublin Coffman (1-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 136
09/25 L 28-21 A #60 New Albany (5-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 140
10/02 L 41-35 H #125 Westerville Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 124
10/09 H #12 Pickerington North (6-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/16 A #18 Gahanna Lincoln (7-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 H #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
13.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 68% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.20 (16.90-21.45) 100% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 38%
Lose: 13.75 (11.15-21.50) 100% in, 67% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Westland (5-2) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 19.55 (16.90-21.50) 100% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 36%
(96%) 5W: 13.75 (11.15-20.85) 100% in, 67% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Westland (5-2) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWW: 19.55 (17.65-21.50) 100% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 35%
( 1%) WLW: 19.20 (16.90-21.45) 100% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 38%
(96%) LLW: 13.75 (11.15-16.95) 100% in, 67% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Westland (5-2) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 132.2, #138, D1 #48), appears locked in, 68% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 6 (4-2, 134.5, #127, D1 #46), appears locked in, 73% home (maybe if 5-5), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 5 (4-1, 133.0, #134, D1 #47), likely in, 58% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% bye, proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 132.5, #134, D1 #45), likely in, 57% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 126.9, #166, D1 #50), 98% (likely in at 3-7 or better), 56% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 140.9, #89, D1 #32), likely in, 86% home (maybe if 4-6), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 139.2, #97, D1 #35), 84% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 5-5), 28% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 136.6, #112, D1 #39), 65% (bubble if 4-6), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 135.7