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Rankings
#39 of 80 in Division 1
#9 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #54 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 6 (39%)
08/28 A #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/04 A #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (39%)
09/11 H #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 A #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 3 (57%)
09/25 A #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/02 H #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 A #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/23 H #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
65% (bubble if 4-6), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.00 ( 1.20-38.90) 90% in, 71% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 8.90 ( 0.00-34.45) 49% in, 24% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 30.55 (21.30-38.90) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
( 8%) 9W: 25.95 (16.90-36.90) 100% in, 99% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 84%
(11%) 8W: 21.60 (13.90-35.10) 100% in, 98% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 52%
(13%) 7W: 17.75 ( 9.60-28.60) 99% in, 83% home, 17% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 17%
(14%) 6W: 14.45 ( 8.15-24.90) 96% in, 49% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 11.25 ( 5.15-20.20) 75% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 8.20 ( 3.20-17.20) 38% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Westland (0-0) 10%
(11%) 3W: 5.65 ( 1.95-13.95) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Westland (0-0) 13%
( 8%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.25-10.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.60- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 7%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Westland (0-0) 5%
Perrysburg (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 12%
Springfield (0-0) 10%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 136.6, #112, D1 #39), 65% (bubble if 4-6), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 135.7