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Rankings
#16 of 100 in Division 2
#5 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #8 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D2 (+304 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 17-14 A #44 London (6-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 161
08/28 L 35-28 H #78 Canal Winchester (5-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 130
09/04 W 56-7 A #341 Dublin Scioto (1-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 168
09/11 W 28-21 A #20 Upper Arlington (6-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 181
09/18 W 42-29 H #123 Dublin Jerome (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 152
09/25 W 28-21 H #127 Grove City (4-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 19 (89%), perf. rating 142
10/02 L 35-3 A #17 Gahanna Lincoln (8-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%), perf. rating 125
10/09 W 51-0 H #414 Central Crossing (0-8) D1 R2, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 153
10/16 H #14 Pickerington North (7-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 A #116 Westerville Central (4-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
22.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 97% home, 10% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.45 (24.05-29.75) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 87%
Lose: 22.65 (17.60-24.60) 100% in, 97% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Hoover (4-4) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 8W: 28.45 (26.60-29.75) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 92%
(73%) 7W: 22.65 (21.35-26.00) 100% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Hoover (4-4) 25%
(21%) 6W: 18.90 (17.60-20.35) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Whitehall-Yearling (6-2) 28%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WW: 28.45 (26.60-29.75) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 92%
(72%) LW: 22.65 (21.35-24.60) 100% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Hoover (4-4) 25%
(21%) LL: 18.90 (17.60-20.35) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), Whitehall-Yearling (6-2) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 148.2, #60, D2 #18), appears locked in, 96% home, 11% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 6 (5-1, 151.6, #53, D2 #16), appears locked in, 98% home, 34% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 150.4, #56, D2 #17), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 152.9, #51, D2 #18), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 139.0, #97, D2 #27), 61% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 139.0, #98, D2 #29), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 142.9, #84, D2 #26), 68% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 134.9, #124, D2 #38), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 136.9