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Rankings
#56 of 79 in Division 1
#16 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #10 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D1 (-304 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 51-27 A #365 Bishop Hartley (2-5) D3 R11, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 138
08/28 L 39-7 A #15 Big Walnut (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 25 (10%), perf. rating 129
09/04 L 45-28 H #131 Dublin Jerome (2-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 106
09/11 L 35-0 A #12 Pickerington North (6-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 126
09/18 L 42-35 H #138 Grove City (4-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 8 (31%), perf. rating 120
09/25 L 31-3 A #30 Olentangy Liberty (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 30 (3%), perf. rating 122
10/02 L 28-12 H #57 Olentangy Orange (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 123
10/09 H #178 Hilliard Davidson (2-5) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 A #17 Upper Arlington (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 H #55 Hilliard Bradley (5-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.56 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.42 ( 3.42-13.21) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 1.56 ( 1.56-11.34) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 3W: 7.36 ( 7.36-11.34) 10% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(44%) 2W: 3.42 ( 3.42- 7.36) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(51%) 1W: 1.56 ( 1.56- 2.77) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLW: 7.36 ( 7.36- 9.32) 9% in, proj. out (#11-out), Wayne (3-4) 31%
( 2%) LLW: 5.49 ( 5.49- 6.81) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Wayne (3-4) 100%
(41%) WLL: 3.42 ( 3.42- 4.68) out
(51%) LLL: 1.56 ( 1.56- 2.77) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 123.5, #198, D1 #56), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (1-5, 124.4, #190, D1 #55), 3% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 124.1, #193, D1 #54), 3% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 122.8, #195, D1 #56), 6% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 120.7, #215, D1 #60), 9% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 139.1, #97, D1 #35), 67% (bubble if 3-7), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 7% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 145.9, #72, D1 #28), 72% (bubble if 3-7), 47% home (maybe if 5-5), 21% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 131.2, #143, D1 #46), 38% (bubble if 3-7), 21% home (maybe if 5-5), 8% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 126.9