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Rankings
#59 of 80 in Division 1
#14 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #52 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #431 Marion-Franklin (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 A #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 20 (16%)
09/04 H #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (13%)
09/18 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 H #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/02 A #112 Grove City (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/09 H #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 A #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 H #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.80 ( 0.50-38.80) 33% in, 12% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Lose: 1.90 ( 0.00-30.35) 6% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 31.05 (22.90-38.80) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 93%
( 1%) 9W: 26.75 (17.25-36.50) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 72%
( 3%) 8W: 22.30 (12.55-30.85) 100% in, 95% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), bye 27%
( 5%) 7W: 18.58 ( 9.85-28.25) 99% in, 67% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 6W: 15.05 ( 5.65-24.20) 92% in, 26% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Olentangy (0-0) 10%
(11%) 5W: 11.80 ( 4.85-20.20) 63% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 9%
(16%) 4W: 8.95 ( 3.05-16.80) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
(20%) 3W: 6.25 ( 2.30-14.95) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 14%
(21%) 2W: 4.05 ( 1.10- 9.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(12%) 1W: 1.90 ( 0.50- 5.80) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Pickerington North (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 19%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 116.2, #229, D1 #59), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 119.8