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Rankings
#44 of 79 in Division 1
#11 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #40 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #41 in D1 (-60 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-0 A #334 Marion-Franklin (3-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 138
08/28 W 17-0 A #179 Westerville South (3-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 21 (15%), perf. rating 153
09/04 L 14-6 H #135 Westerville North (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 5 (61%), perf. rating 119
09/11 W 16-10 A #131 Dublin Jerome (2-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 144
09/18 L 24-14 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 20 (11%), perf. rating 134
09/25 L 45-7 H #12 Pickerington North (6-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 117
10/02 W 41-35 A #138 Grove City (4-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 143
10/09 H #18 Gahanna Lincoln (7-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 A #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 H #60 New Albany (5-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
14.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
93% (likely in at 4-6 or better), 8% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.65 (18.70-26.70) 100% in, 88% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), St Charles (7-0) 33%
Lose: 14.20 (11.75-20.50) 92% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 24.35 (22.90-26.70) 100% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Reynoldsburg (4-3) 31%
(23%) 6W: 18.55 (16.15-23.70) 100% in, 28% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), St Charles (7-0) 48%
(74%) 5W: 14.15 (11.75-18.95) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 43%
( 2%) 4W: 13.40 (11.85-15.25) 84% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 48%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWW: 24.35 (22.90-26.70) 100% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Reynoldsburg (4-3) 31%
( 2%) WWL: 20.00 (18.70-22.55) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), St Charles (7-0) 45%
(21%) LWW: 18.55 (16.15-20.50) 100% in, 24% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), St Charles (7-0) 48%
(74%) LWL: 14.15 (11.75-16.80) 90% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 43%
( 2%) LLL: 13.40 (11.85-15.25) 84% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Olentangy Berlin (5-2) 48%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 134.7, #125, D1 #44), 93% (likely in at 4-6 or better), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 133.6, #128, D1 #47), 51% (likely needs 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (3-2, 133.7, #127, D1 #44), 57% (likely needs 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 4 (3-1, 132.6, #131, D1 #43), 50% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 127.5, #163, D1 #49), 35% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 134.1, #125, D1 #41), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 118.6, #226, D1 #60), 17% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 116.2, #229, D1 #59), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 119.8