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Rankings
#8 of 80 in Division 1
#3 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #6 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #5 St Edward (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 15 (25%)
08/28 H #14 Glenville (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 4 (42%)
09/04 H #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 16 (81%)
09/11 A #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 13 (78%)
09/18 H #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 20 (89%)
09/25 H #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/02 A #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 H #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 H #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
20.82 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#5 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
83% (bubble if 3-7), 66% home (maybe if 5-5), 41% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 30.70 ( 1.31-47.41) 97% in, 90% home, 72% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 74%
Lose: 18.85 ( 0.00-43.07) 79% in, 58% home, 31% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 40%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 39.68 (31.45-47.41) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(11%) 9W: 35.19 (24.89-43.27) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(15%) 8W: 30.30 (19.95-38.38) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 95%
(15%) 7W: 25.51 (16.22-33.84) 99% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 61%
(14%) 6W: 20.82 (11.78-28.65) 100% in, 92% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 12%
(12%) 5W: 16.68 ( 5.72-26.03) 99% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 12.45 ( 5.23-20.38) 81% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 3W: 8.97 ( 3.26-16.24) 30% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 2W: 5.24 ( 1.30-12.41) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 1W: 2.57 ( 0.65- 6.56) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 4%
Olentangy (0-0) 4%
Newark (0-0) 4%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Upper Arlington (0-0) 12%
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 12%
Pickerington North (0-0) 10%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 10%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 166.8, #21, D1 #8), 83% (bubble if 3-7), 66% home (maybe if 5-5), 41% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Last season 162.8