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Rankings
#7 of 80 in Division 1
#2 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #34 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #106 Troy (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 H #74 St Ignatius (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 A #26 Pickerington Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 4 (59%)
09/11 H #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/18 A #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 17 (14%)
09/25 A #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/02 H #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #112 Grove City (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 A #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/23 H #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 16 (85%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
24.67 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
94% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.30 ( 1.90-44.05) 97% in, 85% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 14.60 ( 0.00-37.50) 71% in, 43% home, 14% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 10W: 34.55 (25.40-44.05) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(23%) 9W: 29.40 (20.50-39.95) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 93%
(23%) 8W: 24.67 (16.35-34.65) 100% in, 99% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 51%
(16%) 7W: 20.45 (11.80-29.50) 99% in, 87% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 13%
(11%) 6W: 16.65 ( 8.85-24.40) 98% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 5W: 13.00 ( 7.05-22.25) 84% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
( 4%) 4W: 9.95 ( 4.40-16.00) 47% in, 2% home, proj. out (#7-out), Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 3W: 6.90 ( 2.60-14.15) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 4.22 ( 1.80- 9.80) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 4%
Newark (0-0) 4%
Olentangy (0-0) 4%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 10%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 10%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 9%
Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 167.1, #20, D1 #7), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 168.7