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Rankings
#6 of 79 in Division 1
#1 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #17 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D1 (+291 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 31-14 A #113 Troy (6-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 165
08/28 L 24-21 H #19 St Ignatius (4-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 163
09/04 W 27-0 A #65 Pickerington Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 188
09/11 W 35-0 H #198 Dublin Coffman (1-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 174
09/18 W 51-7 A #57 Olentangy Orange (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 13 (79%), perf. rating 214
09/25 W 45-7 A #125 Westerville Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 193
10/02 W 42-7 H #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 143
10/09 A #138 Grove City (4-3) D1 R2, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 A #60 New Albany (5-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 H #18 Gahanna Lincoln (7-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 8 (70%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
35.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 34.50 (21.75-38.30) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 97%
Lose: 25.52 (19.20-33.80) 100% in, 99% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 55%
Based on eventual number of wins
(66%) 9W: 35.15 (31.95-38.30) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(30%) 8W: 28.70 (26.10-33.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 99%
( 4%) 7W: 23.70 (21.75-26.95) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Westerville Central (4-3) 34%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(66%) WWW: 35.15 (31.95-38.30) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 3%) WLW: 30.15 (28.20-32.65) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#2-#4), bye 100%
(27%) WWL: 28.70 (26.10-31.20) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 98%
( 3%) WLL: 23.70 (21.75-26.30) 100% home, 11% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Westerville Central (4-3) 37%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 176.0, #12, D1 #6), appears locked in and likely home, 96% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 180.9, #9, D1 #4), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 179.1, #9, D1 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 97% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 172.2, #20, D1 #10), likely in, 98% home (likely needs 6-4), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 171.6, #19, D1 #10), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 62% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 163.2, #32, D1 #15), 96% (bubble if 4-6), 84% home (maybe if 5-5), 52% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 166.4, #25, D1 #12), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 54% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 167.0, #20, D1 #7), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 168.7