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Rankings
#1 of 80 in Division 1
#1 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #8 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #49 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 A #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 38 (97%)
09/04 A #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 A #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 25 (93%)
09/18 H #20 Pickerington North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/25 H #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 A #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 H #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/16 A #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 H #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 17 (87%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
34.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 3-7), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 34.20 ( 1.95-48.25) 99% in, 96% home, 84% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 85%
Lose: 21.85 ( 0.00-41.80) 87% in, 68% home, 39% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 45%
Based on eventual number of wins
(32%) 10W: 39.85 (26.30-48.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(25%) 9W: 34.70 (22.50-44.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(17%) 8W: 29.60 (19.20-39.85) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 91%
(11%) 7W: 25.00 (14.85-35.55) 100% in, 99% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 51%
( 7%) 6W: 20.55 (11.05-32.20) 99% in, 87% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 10%
( 4%) 5W: 16.20 ( 8.20-25.15) 98% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 4W: 12.35 ( 5.20-22.45) 78% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 12%
( 1%) 3W: 9.07 ( 3.25-14.95) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 2W: 5.85 ( 1.95-11.65) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Newark (0-0) 2%
Groveport Madison (0-0) 1%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 1%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 9%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 9%
Pickerington North (0-0) 9%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 9%
Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 182.2, #3, D1 #1), 98% (bubble if 3-7), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 79% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 190.4