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Rankings
#20 of 103 in Division 7
#5 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #31 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D7 (+111 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-10 A #473 Lakeview (2-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 7 (63%), perf. rating 121
08/28 L 35-18 H #351 Brookfield (6-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 17 (80%), perf. rating 75
09/04 L 40-14 H #147 Garfield (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 89
09/11 L 27-7 A #249 Mineral Ridge (8-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 88
09/18 W 47-14 A #677 Waterloo (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 81
09/25 W 42-12 H #560 Campbell Memorial (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 112
10/02 W 47-0 A #651 Jackson-Milton (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 107
10/09 W 41-0 A #585 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 126
10/16 H #305 McDonald (8-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/23 H #506 Lowellville (4-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
9.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 94% home (likely needs 6-4), 28% bye (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.45 (10.20-13.80) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#8), bye 92%
Lose: 9.10 ( 6.90-10.15) 100% in, 92% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#12), Rittman (3-5) 35%
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 7W: 12.50 (12.40-13.80) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 97%
(65%) 6W: 9.10 ( 9.10-11.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Rittman (3-5) 38%
( 6%) 5W: 6.90 ( 6.90- 7.90) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Independence (4-4) 46%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(29%) WW: 12.50 (12.40-13.80) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#5), bye 97%
( 1%) WL: 10.25 (10.20-11.20) 100% home, proj. #7 (#5-#8), Rittman (3-5) 33%
(64%) LW: 9.10 ( 9.10-10.15) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Rittman (3-5) 38%
( 6%) LL: 6.90 ( 6.90- 7.90) 100% in, 7% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Independence (4-4) 46%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 97.4, #381, D7 #20), likely in, 90% home (likely needs 6-4), 38% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 95.4, #393, D7 #23), likely in, 84% home (likely needs 6-4), 30% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 90.9, #419, D7 #26), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 70% home (likely needs 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 4 (1-3, 93.7, #412, D7 #24), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (likely needs 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 92.8, #413, D7 #24), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 65% home (likely needs 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 95.6, #391, D7 #22), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 110.6, #282, D7 #10), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 101.8, #352, D7 #17), 88% (bubble if 4-6), 73% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 99.9