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Rankings
#20 of 103 in Division 7
#5 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #27 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D7 (+114 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-10 A #447 Lakeview (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 7 (63%), perf. rating 124
08/28 L 35-18 H #330 Brookfield (5-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 17 (80%), perf. rating 78
09/04 L 40-14 H #133 Garfield (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 92
09/11 L 27-7 A #254 Mineral Ridge (7-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 87
09/18 W 47-14 A #672 Waterloo (1-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 84
09/25 W 42-12 H #550 Campbell Memorial (3-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 113
10/02 W 47-0 A #662 Jackson-Milton (0-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 101
10/09 A #576 W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (2-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/16 H #339 McDonald (7-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 H #500 Lowellville (4-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
9.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 90% home (likely needs 6-4), 39% bye (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.15 ( 6.90-14.30) 99% in, 92% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#2-out), bye 40%
Lose: 7.45 ( 5.25-11.65) 95% in, 39% home, 7% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Monroeville (3-4) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(34%) 7W: 12.40 (12.40-14.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 99%
(55%) 6W: 9.10 ( 9.10-11.65) 100% home, 9% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), St Paul (3-3) 29%
(10%) 5W: 6.90 ( 6.90- 9.05) 99% in, 10% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Monroeville (3-4) 30%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(34%) WWW: 12.40 (12.40-14.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#6), bye 99%
( 3%) WWL: 10.20 ( 9.85-11.45) 100% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), St Paul (3-3) 30%
(51%) WLW: 9.10 ( 9.10-10.60) 100% home, 9% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), St Paul (3-3) 29%
( 2%) LLW: 7.45 ( 7.45- 8.45) 100% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Monroeville (3-4) 34%
( 8%) WLL: 6.90 ( 6.90- 7.90) 99% in, 2% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Monroeville (3-4) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 97.4, #381, D7 #20), likely in, 90% home (likely needs 6-4), 39% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 95.4, #393, D7 #23), likely in, 84% home (likely needs 6-4), 30% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 90.9, #419, D7 #26), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 70% home (likely needs 6-4), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 4 (1-3, 93.7, #412, D7 #24), 94% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (likely needs 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 92.8, #413, D7 #24), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 65% home (likely needs 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 95.6, #391, D7 #22), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 110.6, #282, D7 #10), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 74% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 101.8, #352, D7 #17), 88% (bubble if 4-6), 73% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 99.9