Region 17 home page
Region 17 projections
Region 17 playoff probabilities
Region 17 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 17 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#11 of 106 in Division 5
#4 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #27 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D5 (+210 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 55-21 H #453 Orange (1-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 134
08/29 W 63-18 H #585 Lakeside (0-4) D3 R9, pick: W by 41 (98%), perf. rating 125
09/05 W 48-27 A #320 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (3-1) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 140
09/12 W 48-12 H #387 Struthers (0-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 24 (92%), perf. rating 149
09/19 H #179 Garaway (3-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (73%)
09/26 H #378 Lakeview (2-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/03 A #98 South Range (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/10 H #126 Poland Seminary (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/17 A #201 Hubbard (4-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/24 A #546 Niles McKinley (0-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 41 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
18.70 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#5 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 88% home (likely needs 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.37 (10.42-30.05) 99% in, 97% home, 69% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 69%
Lose: 15.07 ( 6.74-25.21) 97% in, 63% home, 21% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 10W: 26.62 (24.19-30.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(27%) 9W: 22.58 (19.75-26.07) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(29%) 8W: 18.70 (16.22-23.80) 100% in, 99% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 52%
(20%) 7W: 14.92 (12.09-19.86) 100% in, 84% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Pymatuning Valley (3-1) 14%
( 9%) 6W: 11.18 ( 9.06-16.74) 96% in, 11% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Liberty (3-1) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) WWWWWW: 26.62 (24.19-30.05) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(17%) WWLWWW: 22.68 (19.75-25.31) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 6%) WWWLWW: 22.33 (19.96-25.87) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(15%) WWLLWW: 18.70 (16.22-22.49) 100% in, 99% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 42%
( 5%) WWLWLW: 18.34 (16.58-20.82) 100% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 60%
( 7%) LWLLWW: 15.12 (12.49-18.10) 100% in, 87% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Pymatuning Valley (3-1) 16%
(10%) WWLLLW: 14.76 (12.29-17.44) 100% in, 79% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Liberty (3-1) 15%
( 8%) LWLLLW: 11.18 ( 9.06-14.77) 96% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Liberty (3-1) 16%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 133.8, #137, D5 #11), likely in, 88% home (likely needs 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 126.9, #179, D5 #17), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 75% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 130.4, #155, D5 #15), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 81% home (maybe if 6-4), 52% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 129.1, #157, D5 #15), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 126.0, #174, D5 #18), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 48% home (maybe if 7-3), 23% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 126.9