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Rankings
#6 of 101 in Division 4
#1 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #16 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #237 Salem (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 H #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 12 (27%)
09/04 A #437 Field (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 37 (98%)
09/11 A #121 Canfield (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 6 (64%)
09/18 H #235 Hubbard (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 A #147 South Range (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/02 H #542 Niles McKinley (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/09 H #110 Girard (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 A #419 Lakeview (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 A #296 Struthers (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
21.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
93% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 52% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.70 ( 1.55-36.65) 96% in, 85% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 59%
Lose: 12.15 ( 0.00-30.10) 68% in, 42% home, 16% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 10W: 29.15 (22.15-36.65) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(22%) 9W: 25.35 (18.25-32.75) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 94%
(20%) 8W: 21.70 (14.15-28.95) 100% in, 99% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 68%
(16%) 7W: 18.10 (10.85-26.00) 100% in, 93% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 25%
(12%) 6W: 14.80 ( 9.00-22.00) 99% in, 63% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 11.70 ( 6.05-18.85) 86% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 4W: 9.00 ( 4.10-16.05) 46% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 14%
( 3%) 3W: 6.10 ( 2.00-12.05) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 2W: 4.00 ( 1.00- 9.50) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Hubbard (0-0) 4%
Lutheran East (0-0) 3%
West Geauga (0-0) 3%
Orrville (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Norton (0-0) 11%
East (Akron) (0-0) 11%
West Branch (0-0) 10%
Rocky River (0-0) 10%
Streetsboro (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 116.4, #226, D4 #25), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 18% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 144.4