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Rankings
#16 of 102 in Division 4
#5 of 25 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #22 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D4 (+131 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 21-17 H #187 Salem (7-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 117
08/28 L 36-34 H #64 Kirtland (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 33 (5%), perf. rating 141
09/04 W 49-0 A #556 Field (2-5) D4 R13, pick: W by 38 (98%), perf. rating 134
09/11 W 24-21 A #140 Canfield (2-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 138
09/18 W 35-24 H #212 Hubbard (4-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 135
09/25 L 47-7 A #51 South Range (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 15 (17%), perf. rating 94
10/02 W 41-0 H #443 Niles McKinley (3-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 147
10/09 H #81 Girard (7-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/16 A #447 Lakeview (2-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 A #477 Struthers (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.85 (14.30-18.80) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#6-#11), East (Akron) (6-1) 26%
Lose: 12.10 ( 9.15-14.15) 89% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), West Geauga (6-1) 29%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 7W: 16.85 (15.60-18.80) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#6-#11), East (Akron) (6-1) 26%
(72%) 6W: 12.10 (10.50-16.95) 91% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), West Geauga (6-1) 28%
( 2%) 5W: 10.75 ( 9.55-12.50) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(26%) WWW: 16.85 (15.60-18.80) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#6-#11), East (Akron) (6-1) 26%
(72%) LWW: 12.10 (10.50-14.15) 91% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), West Geauga (6-1) 29%
( 1%) LLW: 10.57 ( 9.55-12.00) 16% in, proj. out (#11-out), West Geauga (6-1) 39%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 130.9, #146, D4 #16), 92% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home, proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 132.0, #138, D4 #14), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home, proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 136.3, #110, D4 #11), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 139.1, #101, D4 #10), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 141.3, #85, D4 #9), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (0-2, 141.8, #85, D4 #9), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye, proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 131.0, #144, D4 #14), 70% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 142.9, #82, D4 #6), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 80% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 144.4