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Rankings
#56 of 105 in Division 5
#14 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #14 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #352 Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 A #255 Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 A #547 Jefferson Area (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #147 South Range (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 A #542 Niles McKinley (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 H #110 Girard (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/02 A #296 Struthers (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 17 (14%)
10/09 H #235 Hubbard (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 H #82 Poland Seminary (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 H #369 Beaver Local (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
20% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.80 ( 0.35-30.90) 39% in, 18% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 3.00 ( 0.00-26.90) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.00 (17.15-27.55) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 78%
( 2%) 8W: 18.30 (12.90-23.45) 99% in, 94% home, 28% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 28%
( 5%) 7W: 15.25 (10.35-22.30) 98% in, 59% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 12.10 ( 5.50-18.75) 77% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 9.35 ( 4.10-16.05) 32% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Barnesville (0-0) 8%
(15%) 4W: 6.80 ( 2.35-13.70) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
(19%) 3W: 4.50 ( 1.35-10.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(18%) 2W: 2.50 ( 0.85- 8.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(13%) 1W: 0.95 ( 0.35- 4.55) out, proj. out
( 7%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Liberty (0-0) 6%
Edison (Richmond) (0-0) 6%
Berkshire (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 19%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 12%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Girard (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 77.1, #515, D5 #76), 26% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 87.9