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Rankings
#10 of 108 in Division 6
#2 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #10 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D6 (+301 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-6 H #413 Canton South (0-6) D4 R15, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 112
08/28 W 40-16 A #317 Dalton (2-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 144
09/04 W 39-29 A #294 Norwayne (3-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 127
09/11 W 48-22 H #286 Zanesville (4-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 148
09/18 L 41-35 H #111 Girard (6-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 126
09/25 W 49-16 A #499 Tuscarawas Valley (3-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 131
10/02 A #553 Sandy Valley (1-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 H #22 Indian Valley (5-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 A #183 Claymont (6-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/23 H #218 Ridgewood (4-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.98 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#4 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.14 (10.02-26.78) 99% in, 93% home, 72% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 72%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 24.60 (22.79-26.78) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(43%) 8W: 19.96 (17.69-23.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(41%) 7W: 15.98 (13.60-20.88) 100% in, 99% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 64%
(13%) 6W: 12.55 (10.02-16.64) 99% in, 52% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Elgin (4-2) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWW: 24.60 (22.79-26.78) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(42%) WLWW: 19.91 (17.69-23.09) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(10%) WLWL: 16.63 (14.56-19.21) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
(31%) WLLW: 15.83 (13.60-18.45) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 58%
(13%) WLLL: 12.55 (10.02-15.33) 99% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), Elgin (4-2) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (5-1, 129.9, #150, D6 #10), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 129.8, #157, D6 #7), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 70% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 129.2, #153, D6 #8), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 86% home (likely needs 7-3), 65% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 125.7, #174, D6 #13), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (likely needs 7-3), 62% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 131.0, #146, D6 #8), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 6-4), 66% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 133.1, #134, D6 #11), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 132.9, #135, D6 #7), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 7-3), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 133.8