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Rankings
#7 of 108 in Division 6
#1 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #11 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D6 (+231 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-6 H #440 Canton South (0-8) D4 R15, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 107
08/28 W 40-16 A #342 Dalton (2-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 141
09/04 W 39-29 A #245 Norwayne (5-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 133
09/11 W 48-22 H #303 Zanesville (5-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 146
09/18 L 41-35 H #82 Girard (8-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 131
09/25 W 49-16 A #472 Tuscarawas Valley (3-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 136
10/02 W 55-21 A #545 Sandy Valley (1-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 124
10/09 L 28-21 H #35 Indian Valley (7-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 27 (4%), perf. rating 146
10/16 A #160 Claymont (8-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/23 H #235 Ridgewood (5-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
19.81 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 92% home (likely needs 7-3), 59% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.81 (15.62-21.63) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 96%
Lose: 15.42 (11.34-17.34) 100% in, 80% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Berne Union (5-3) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(53%) 8W: 19.81 (18.25-21.63) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(38%) 7W: 15.78 (14.41-18.20) 100% in, 98% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Berne Union (5-3) 23%
( 8%) 6W: 12.45 (11.34-13.96) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Centerburg (6-2) 31%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(53%) WW: 19.81 (18.25-21.63) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 5%) WL: 16.94 (15.62-18.20) 100% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 55%
(34%) LW: 15.52 (14.41-17.34) 100% in, 98% home, 9% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Berne Union (5-3) 24%
( 8%) LL: 12.45 (11.34-13.96) 100% in, 8% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Centerburg (6-2) 31%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 130.7, #148, D6 #7), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 129.9, #150, D6 #10), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 72% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 129.8, #157, D6 #7), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 70% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 129.2, #153, D6 #8), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 86% home (likely needs 7-3), 65% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 125.7, #174, D6 #13), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 84% home (likely needs 7-3), 62% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 131.0, #146, D6 #8), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 6-4), 66% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 133.1, #134, D6 #11), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 57% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 132.9, #135, D6 #7), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 7-3), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 133.8