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Rankings
#10 of 104 in Division 7
#5 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #29 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #247 Margaretta (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H #544 Cardington-Lincoln (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 32 (95%)
09/04 H #627 Buckeye Central (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/11 A #651 Bucyrus (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/18 H #417 Upper Sandusky (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 A #523 Wynford (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #616 Willard (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/09 A #176 Colonel Crawford (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 H #191 Carey (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/23 H #426 Calvert (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.10 ( 3.00-25.90) 99% in, 92% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 57%
Lose: 10.55 ( 0.00-21.55) 82% in, 52% home, 12% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 20.33 (15.55-25.90) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 98%
(16%) 9W: 17.35 (12.30-23.40) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 79%
(21%) 8W: 14.45 ( 9.45-20.25) 100% in, 98% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 34%
(22%) 7W: 11.85 ( 7.90-17.40) 99% in, 80% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Montpelier (0-0) 9%
(16%) 6W: 9.55 ( 5.85-14.20) 95% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
(10%) 5W: 7.40 ( 4.15-12.95) 64% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
( 5%) 4W: 5.45 ( 2.65- 9.65) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
( 2%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.50- 7.35) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.20 ( 1.10- 5.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 6%
Montpelier (0-0) 6%
Arlington (0-0) 5%
Edgerton (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 15%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 13%
Leipsic (0-0) 13%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
North Baltimore (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 66.1, #576, D7 #51), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 5-5
Last season 109.2