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Rankings
#8 of 103 in Division 7
#4 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #32 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D7 (+201 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-20 A #296 Margaretta (6-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (37%), perf. rating 97
08/28 W 56-14 H #627 Cardington-Lincoln (0-7) D6 R23, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 112
09/04 W 48-0 H #656 Buckeye Central (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 100
09/11 W 56-7 A #590 Bucyrus (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 125
09/18 W 41-7 H #406 Upper Sandusky (3-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 11 (75%), perf. rating 143
09/25 W 35-7 A #538 Wynford (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 117
10/02 W 44-0 A #563 Willard (3-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 133
10/09 A #325 Colonel Crawford (4-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/16 H #203 Carey (5-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/23 H #552 Calvert (0-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
12.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 97% home, 30% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.95 (11.05-16.60) 100% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 42%
Lose: 10.15 ( 8.70-14.25) 100% in, 89% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), North Central (3-4) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(34%) 9W: 15.30 (14.90-16.60) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 86%
(45%) 8W: 12.50 (12.10-15.05) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), North Central (3-4) 29%
(20%) 7W: 9.85 ( 9.75-12.70) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #7 (#6-#10), Montpelier (5-2) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(34%) WWW: 15.30 (14.90-16.60) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 86%
( 8%) LWW: 12.70 (12.60-14.25) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), North Central (3-4) 29%
(36%) WLW: 12.20 (12.10-13.35) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), North Central (3-4) 29%
(20%) LLW: 9.85 ( 9.75-10.95) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #8 (#6-#10), Montpelier (5-2) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 116.8, #242, D7 #8), appears locked in, 97% home, 30% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 112.7, #271, D7 #9), appears locked in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 113.8, #263, D7 #10), appears locked in, 92% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye, proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 106.4, #318, D7 #13), likely in, 73% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 104.9, #330, D7 #14), 98% (likely needs 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 103.8, #336, D7 #14), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 107.1, #307, D7 #12), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 58% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 109.8, #284, D7 #10), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 109.2